模拟人工市场策略求解约束消费-投资问题

B. Bick, H. Kraft, Claus Munk
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引用次数: 35

摘要

封闭形式的效用最大化消费和投资策略在涉及投资组合约束、不完全市场和潜在的大量状态变量的现实环境中是未知的。在这种情况下,标准的数值方法很难实现。我们提出了一个数值过程,它结合了人工的、无约束的完全市场的抽象概念、仿射或二次回报模型中众所周知的封闭形式解、直接的蒙特卡罗模拟和标准的迭代优化程序。与未知的最优策略相比,我们的方法提供了财富等效损失的上限,并且通过建立所考虑的策略的封闭形式表达式,它有助于我们理解起作用的经济力量。我们举例说明并测试了我们的方法对生命周期问题的个人谁收到未跨越的劳动收入,不能借贷或卖空。该方法的上损失界很小,与已有的两种方法相比,具有较好的性能。本文被财经魏雄录用。
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Solving Constrained Consumption-Investment Problems by Simulation of Artificial Market Strategies
Utility-maximizing consumption and investment strategies in closed form are unknown for realistic settings involving portfolio constraints, incomplete markets, and potentially a high number of state variables. Standard numerical methods are hard to implement in such cases. We propose a numerical procedure that combines the abstract idea of artificial, unconstrained complete markets, well-known closed-form solutions in affine or quadratic return models, straightforward Monte Carlo simulation, and a standard iterative optimization routine. Our method provides an upper bound on the wealth-equivalent loss compared to the unknown optimal strategy, and it facilitates our understanding of the economic forces at play by building on closed-form expressions for the strategies considered. We illustrate and test our method on the life-cycle problem of an individual who receives unspanned labor income and cannot borrow or short sell. The upper loss bound is small, and our method performs well in comparison with two existing methods. This paper was accepted by Wei Xiong, finance.
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