基于深度神经网络的站区新能源接入潜力评价

Zhongdong Wang, Yu Zhou, Yue Li, Fan Gao, Shanshan Meng, Xiaolin Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着“碳调峰、碳中和”目标的提出,站区新能源渗透率逐步提高。其输出的波动性和随机性极大地挑战了新站区的稳定运行。目前,随着光伏等新能源接入量的不断增加,站区流向呈现双向随机特征,功率逆向问题日益突出,阻碍了新能源的进一步接入,对站区乃至上级配电网的能源控制和用电安全系统产生了负面影响,影响了公司正常的营销、业务拓展等。针对上述问题,本文提出了一种基于深度神经网络的站区新能源接入潜力评价方法。基于站区多段历史测量数据,采用深度学习方法学习当前站区状态与光伏可达容量之间的电位联系,得到数据驱动的站区新能源可达电位评价模型。该方法考虑了站区复杂环境的实际约束,分析了新能源接入的瓶颈,从而优化资源配置,最大化站区新能源接入潜力。通过实例验证,该方法实现了低压站区最大新能源接入潜力的准确实时评估。
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New Energy Access Potential Evaluation in Station Areas Based on Deep Neural Network
With the proposal of "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" goals, the permeability of new energy in the station area is gradually improved. The volatility and randomness of its output greatly challenge the stable operation of the new station area. At present, as the photovoltaic and other new energy access consistently increases, the station area flow direction presents two-way random characteristics and the power converse problem becomes increasingly prominent, which has impeded further access of new energy, had a negative effect on the energy control and electricity safety system of the station area and even the superior distribution network, and affected the normal company marketing, business expansion, etc. In view of the above problems, this paper puts forward a station area new energy access potential assessment method based on deep neural network. Based on station area multi-section historical measurement data, using deep learning method the potential connection between the current station area state and accessible photovoltaic capacity is learned and the data-driven station area new energy access potential assessment model is obtained. This method considers the actual constraints of the station area’s complex environment and analyzes the bottleneck of new energy access, so as to optimize the resource allocation and maximize the new energy access potential in the station area. It is verified by example that this method realizes the accurate and real-time maximum new energy access potential assessment in low-voltage station areas.
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