沿海巴桑查尔离网可持续能源系统帮助罗兴亚难民康复的可行性研究

S. Azim, Mohammad M. Uzzal, A. M. Saleque, A. Rahman
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引用次数: 6

摘要

孟加拉国政府从2017年9月起在诺阿卡里区哈蒂亚领导下的沿海岛屿巴哈桑查尔实施一个紧急人道主义项目,以便在部分抵达的罗兴亚难民返回家园缅甸之前暂时恢复他们的生活。根据该项目,GoB将进行土地开发、堤防建设以及其他基础设施。这项研究旨在为政府恢复10.32万罗兴亚难民的倡议提供部分基本能源支持。在此基础上,验证了建立离网可持续能源系统的可行性。考虑到项目20年的寿命,我们还对拟议的能源系统进行了财务分析。研究表明,巴桑炭年平均日照量为4.82kWh/m2/d,日照时数在3 ~ 11小时之间。Bhasan char的风流数据显示,全年24小时平均风速为3.74m/s。这些数据证明了环境友好型离网太阳能系统和风能系统在巴桑查尔的适用性。然而,考虑到有效发电小时数,为了使能源多样化,并根据荷马(多种能源混合优化)软件的分析结果,我们提出了一个混合能源系统,其中40%的贡献来自风能,其余60%来自太阳能。我们对该项目的财务分析显示,在20年的寿命期内,总成本为4384.8亿卢比(约合0.525亿美元)。因此,考虑到它可能为103200名流离失所的难民提供的长期影响,以及我们为罗兴亚问题对孟加拉国不利的负面社会经济影响提供的解决方案,每年219.2亿泰铢是相当经济和合理的。
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Feasibility Study of Off-Grid Sustainable Energy System for Coastal Bhasan Char to Rehabilitate Rohinga Refugees
Government of Bangladesh (GoB) is implementing an emergency humanitarian project at coastal island Bhasan Char under Hatiya of Noakhali District, from September 2017 to temporarily rehabilitate a portion of incoming Rohinga refugees before they can repatriate to their home land, Myanmar. Under this project, GoB will carry out land development, construction of embankment as well as other infrastructures. This study is aimed at providing partial basic energy support to the government’s initiative of rehabilitating 103,200 Rohinga refugees. Under the study, we check the feasibility of establishing off-grid sustainable energy system. We also perform the financial analysis of the proposed energy system by considering 20 years life-span of the project. Our study shows that annual average solar insolation in Bhasan char is 4.82kWh/m2/day and daily bright sunshine hour varies from 3 hours to 11 hours. Wind flow data of Bhasan char shows the average annual wind speed of 3.74m/s which is available round the clock and throughout the year. These data justify the suitability of environment friendly off-grid solar energy system as well as wind energy system for Bhasan Char. However, considering the effective generation hours, to diversify energy sources and basing on analysis result using HOMER (Hybrid Optimization of Multiple Energy Resources) software – we are proposing a hybrid energy system with 40% contribution from wind and rest 60% from solar. Our financial analysis of the project shows a total cost of 43.848 Crore (USD 0.525 Crore) over 20-year life span. Therefore, a BDT 2.192 Crore/year is quite economical and justifiable, considering the long-term impact that it might provide to displaced 103,200 refugees as well as the solution that we are providing to adverse negative socio-economic impact on Bangladesh from Rohinga issue.
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