利率对加纳股票价格的影响

Peter Arhenful, A. Yeboah, Kofi Sarfo Adjei
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文评估了利率对股票价格的影响,并以加纳证券交易所为重点;使用2007年7月至2019年12月的月度时间序列数据。采用增广Dickey-Fuller (ADF)检验来确定数据的平稳性或其他特性。利用多元回归的普通最小二乘(OLS)估计技术,结果(?= - 0.891, p < 0.05)表明在加纳背景下利率和股票价格之间存在间接关联;这与利率上升导致股价下跌的理论结论是一致的。因此,根据这一发现,建议政策制定者考虑股票市场动态,因为这两个宏观经济变量之间存在显著关系。
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Effect of Interest Rate on Stock Prices in Ghana
The paper assesses the effect of interest rate on stock prices, with emphases on Ghana Stock Exchange; using monthly time series data from July 2007 to December 2019. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test was employed to establish the stationarity properties of the data or otherwise. Using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation technique of Multiple Regression, the results (? = – 0.891, p < 0.05) revealed an indirect association between interest rates and stock prices in the Ghanaian context; which is consistent with the theoretical conclusion that an increase in interest rate results in a decrease in stock prices. Thus, in the light of this finding, it was recommended that policymakers should consider the stock market dynamics due to the significant relationship that exists between the two macroeconomic variables.
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