不安全对尼日利亚经济增长和发展的影响

S. N. Agogbua, Chukwudi D. Mgbatogu,, U. Nzewi
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摘要

本文探讨了不安全的挑战和影响的商业活动,经济增长和尼日利亚的经济发展。本研究采用事后因素研究,时间序列数据来源于官方和政府出版物;从2009年到2022年。研究中使用的变量是在充分考虑了现有文献和研究目标后得出的。为了满足研究的目标,我们逻辑上将数据分为前高度不安全时期(2009- 2015)和高度不安全时期(2016- 2022)。提出4个假设,采用t检验、f检验;并使用Cho-test来检验研究中两个时间段之间的方差。研究发现,不安全感阻碍了尼日利亚的商业活动(BA),但对经济增长(EG)和经济发展(ED)没有显著影响;并得出结论,国家不安全必须高度考虑,因为商业活动在安全的环境中蓬勃发展,最终确保可持续的经济增长和发展。因此,我们建议综合采用复合安全管理方法模型和双向方法模型,以解决确保尼日利亚经济可持续性的不安全问题。
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Impact of Insecurity on Nigerian Economic Growth and Development
This paper examines insecurity challenges and implications on business activities, economic growth and economic development of Nigeria. The study was designed as ex-post factor research, with time series data sourced from official and government publications; spanning from 2009 to 2022. The variables used for the study were sourced after adequate considerations of extant literature and objectives of the study. In meeting with the objectives of the study, we logically break-up the data into pre-high insecurity period (2009- 2015) and high insecurity period (2016- 2022). Four hypotheses were formulated and tested using t-test, f-test; and Cho-test was used to test the variance between the two time periods under study. The study found that insecurity hampers Business Activities (BA) but does not have significant influence on Economic Growth (EG) and Economic Development (ED) of Nigeria; and concluded that national insecurity must be of high consideration as business activities blossom in a secure environment, which ultimately ensures sustainable economic growth and development. We therefore recommend a synthesis of composite security management approach model and two-way approach model in addressing the ills of insecurity in ensuring Nigeria economic sustainability.
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