未完成的事业:多商品跨期计划者-实干者框架

H. Shefrin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

目的:在塞勒和谢弗林(1981)提出的计划者-实施者模型中,还有一些未完成的事情需要解决。未完成的工作包括确定和建模诱惑和心理会计在养老金和储蓄行为中所起的关键作用。本文有两个目的。设计/方法论/方法第一个目标是描述从塞勒和谢夫林(1981)模型过渡到谢夫林和塞勒(1988)模型的关键经验教训,这一过渡解决了一些未完成的问题。第二个目标是描述与发展计划者-实干者框架的多商品、跨时期版本相关的尚未完成的工作,该框架包含诱惑和心理核算的概念,以取代新古典主义的消费者理论。这样做将为与家庭预算、支出、储蓄、借贷和投资相关的推动提供理论基础。原创性/价值本文提出了第一个消费者行为理论,重点关注消费者实际做出预算、支出决策的方式。借贷和储蓄。本文中的方法可以看作是新古典主义消费者理论的行为对应。与新古典主义方法(假设消费者设定并遵循效用最大化预算)相反,经验证据表明,只有一小部分消费者将自己描述为设定并遵循预算。本文提出的行为理论侧重于消费者实际预算过程的启发式本质,并扩展了塞勒和谢弗林1981年关于自我控制的开创性论文中描述的方法。本论文的核心是Shefrin和Thaler在1980年开始的工作论文,因此代表了从那时起未完成的工作。本文的第一部分描述了1981年框架中早期未完成的工作,作者随后在20世纪80年代发展了行为生命周期假设。
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Unfinished Business: A Multicommodity Intertemporal Planner-Doer Framework
PurposeThere was unfinished business to address in the version of the planner–doer model developed in Thaler and Shefrin (1981). The unfinished business involved identifying and modeling the crucial roles played by temptation and mental accounting in pensions and savings behavior. The present paper has two objectives.Design/methodology/approachThe first objective is to describe the key lessons learned in transitioning from the model in Thaler and Shefrin (1981) to the model in Shefrin and Thaler (1988), a transition which addressed some of the unfinished business. The second objective is to describe as yet unfinished business associated with developing a multicommodity, intertemporal version of the planner–doer framework, incorporating the concepts of temptation and mental accounting, to replace the neoclassical theory of the consumer.FindingsDoing so will provide a theoretical foundation for nudges related to household budgeting, spending, saving, borrowing and investing.Originality/valueThis paper presents the first behavioral theory of the consumer, focusing on the manner in which consumers actually make decisions about budgeting, spending. borrowing and saving. The approach in the paper can be viewed as a behavioral counterpart to the neoclassical theory of the consumer. In contrast to the neoclassical approach, which assumes that consumers set and follow utility maximizing budgets, the empirical evidence indicates that only a small minority of consumers describe themselves as setting and following budgets. The behavioral theory presented here focuses on the heuristic nature of consumers' actual budgeting processes and extends the approach described in Thaler and Shefrin's 1981 seminal paper on self-control. The core of the present paper is a working paper which Shefrin and Thaler began in 1980, and as such represents unfinished business from that time. The first part of this paper describes earlier unfinished business from the 1981 framework that the authors subsequently addressed as they developed the behavioral life cycle hypothesis during the 1980s.
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