机器学习:对抗COVID - 19的工具

Shakti Arora, V. Athavale, Tanvi Singh
{"title":"机器学习:对抗COVID - 19的工具","authors":"Shakti Arora, V. Athavale, Tanvi Singh","doi":"10.1002/9781119769088.ch15","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"COVID-19 has become a global challenge and is threatening mankind. The global economy is in crisis due to a long tranche of partial to complete lockdown. Forecasting the number of COVID-19 cases is a challenge as cases are both symptomatic as well as asymptomatic, recurrence after recovery is another challenge. Careful data analysis is required to predict and estimate the number of affected cases as well as death ratio. During this pandemic situation, forecasting uncertainty is of utmost importance in decision making. In this chapter, authors have developed a model to predict the COVID-19 confirmed cases. The prediction is based on the data collected in different phases of lockdown in India. In this study, a model is developed using machine learning approaches based on the analysis of data of two Indian states Delhi and Maharashtra where maximum infected cases are found. This study is an attempt to help the decision-makers in better planning and actions. In this study, Neural Network (NN) and M5P model trees are applied to forecast the number of infected cases with each progressive day. Results suggest that the performance of the neural network-based model is slightly better than the M5P model tree in forecasting COVID-19 cases. © 2021 Scrivener Publishing LLC.","PeriodicalId":207943,"journal":{"name":"Enabling Healthcare 4.0 for Pandemics","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Machine Learning: A Tool to Combat COVID‐19\",\"authors\":\"Shakti Arora, V. Athavale, Tanvi Singh\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/9781119769088.ch15\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"COVID-19 has become a global challenge and is threatening mankind. The global economy is in crisis due to a long tranche of partial to complete lockdown. Forecasting the number of COVID-19 cases is a challenge as cases are both symptomatic as well as asymptomatic, recurrence after recovery is another challenge. Careful data analysis is required to predict and estimate the number of affected cases as well as death ratio. During this pandemic situation, forecasting uncertainty is of utmost importance in decision making. In this chapter, authors have developed a model to predict the COVID-19 confirmed cases. The prediction is based on the data collected in different phases of lockdown in India. In this study, a model is developed using machine learning approaches based on the analysis of data of two Indian states Delhi and Maharashtra where maximum infected cases are found. This study is an attempt to help the decision-makers in better planning and actions. In this study, Neural Network (NN) and M5P model trees are applied to forecast the number of infected cases with each progressive day. Results suggest that the performance of the neural network-based model is slightly better than the M5P model tree in forecasting COVID-19 cases. © 2021 Scrivener Publishing LLC.\",\"PeriodicalId\":207943,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Enabling Healthcare 4.0 for Pandemics\",\"volume\":\"14 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Enabling Healthcare 4.0 for Pandemics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119769088.ch15\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Enabling Healthcare 4.0 for Pandemics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119769088.ch15","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情已成为全球性挑战,威胁着人类。由于长期的部分或完全封锁,全球经济处于危机之中。预测新冠肺炎病例数是一项挑战,因为病例既有症状,也有无症状,康复后复发是另一项挑战。预测和估计感染病例数以及死亡率需要仔细的数据分析。在这种大流行情况下,预测不确定性对决策至关重要。在本章中,作者开发了一个预测COVID-19确诊病例的模型。这一预测是基于在印度封锁的不同阶段收集的数据。在这项研究中,利用机器学习方法开发了一个模型,该模型基于对发现最多感染病例的两个印度邦德里和马哈拉施特拉邦的数据分析。本研究旨在帮助决策者更好地规划和行动。在本研究中,应用神经网络(NN)和M5P模型树来预测每天的感染病例数。结果表明,基于神经网络的模型在预测COVID-19病例方面的性能略优于M5P模型树。©2021 Scrivener Publishing LLC。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Machine Learning: A Tool to Combat COVID‐19
COVID-19 has become a global challenge and is threatening mankind. The global economy is in crisis due to a long tranche of partial to complete lockdown. Forecasting the number of COVID-19 cases is a challenge as cases are both symptomatic as well as asymptomatic, recurrence after recovery is another challenge. Careful data analysis is required to predict and estimate the number of affected cases as well as death ratio. During this pandemic situation, forecasting uncertainty is of utmost importance in decision making. In this chapter, authors have developed a model to predict the COVID-19 confirmed cases. The prediction is based on the data collected in different phases of lockdown in India. In this study, a model is developed using machine learning approaches based on the analysis of data of two Indian states Delhi and Maharashtra where maximum infected cases are found. This study is an attempt to help the decision-makers in better planning and actions. In this study, Neural Network (NN) and M5P model trees are applied to forecast the number of infected cases with each progressive day. Results suggest that the performance of the neural network-based model is slightly better than the M5P model tree in forecasting COVID-19 cases. © 2021 Scrivener Publishing LLC.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Rapid Forecasting of Pandemic Outbreak Using Machine Learning: The Case of COVID‐19 Machine Learning: A Tool to Combat COVID‐19 Rapid Forecasting of Pandemic Outbreak Using Machine Learning Mathematical Insight of COVID‐19 Infection—A Modeling Approach Multi‐Purpose Robotic Sensing Device for Healthcare Services
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1