粒子群算法在股票市场中的应用

J. Nenortaite, R. Simutis
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引用次数: 22

摘要

本文主要研究了基于人工神经网络和群体智能算法的智能决策模型的开发。所建议的模型产生一步前的投资决策。利用人工神经网络对历史股票收益进行分析,并计算未来一天可能获得的利润,这可能是在遵循模型提出的购买股票的决策时获得的。随后,将粒子群优化算法应用于人工神经网络的训练。神经网络的训练是通过将所有神经网络的权重调整到“全局最优”神经网络来完成的。实验研究了不同形式的决策模型:不同结构的人工神经网络、输入变量等。本文介绍了对决策模型评价的实验研究。实验结果表明,应用所提出的决策模型可以取得优于市场平均水平的结果。
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Adapting particle swarm optimization to stock markets
The paper is focused on the development of intelligent decision-making model which is based on the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) and swarm intelligence algorithm. The proposed model generates one-step forward investment decisions. The ANN are used to make the analysis of historical stock returns and to calculate one day forward possible profit, which could be get while following the model proposed decisions concerning the purchase of the stocks. Subsequently the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is applied for training of ANN. The training of ANN is made through the adjustment of all ANN towards the weights of "global best" ANN. The experimental investigations were made considering different forms of decision-making model: different structure ANN, input variables etc. The paper introduces experimental investigation for the evaluation of decision-making model. The experimental results show that the application of the proposed decision-making model lets to achieve better results than the average of the market.
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