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当阿拉伯之春席卷远至叙利亚的阿拉伯世界时,土耳其和俄罗斯并不站在同一边。土耳其要求阿萨德政权更迭,而俄罗斯支持阿萨德政权。两国关系也因击落苏霍伊-24喷气式飞机而恶化,导致俄罗斯对土耳其实施了一系列制裁。然而,从2016年到2019年,两者的关系开始改善。这一进程的特点是各方合作结束叙利亚内战。根据权力平衡理论,土耳其应该与俄罗斯保持平衡,因为每个国家都试图阻止一个国家统治。相反,他们都合作。2015年俄罗斯对叙利亚的军事干预可以分析为改变全球力量平衡的企图,而土耳其可以归类为地区崛起大国。本文试图回答:土耳其为何选择在叙利亚问题上与俄罗斯合作?我认为,在正义与发展党对库尔德人越来越严厉的时期,土耳其外交政策的变化。这引起了与美国的摩擦,因此土耳其与俄罗斯建立了战略关系,以打击叙利亚的库尔德人。
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Analisis Balance of Interest dalam Studi Kasus Kepentingan Turki Melakukan Kerja Sama dengan Rusia di Suriah pada 2016 – 2019
When the Arab Spring swept through the Arab world as far as Syria, Turkey and Russia were not on the same side. Turkey demand a regime change, while Russia supports the regime. The relationship between the two countries was also exacerbated by the downing of the Sukhoi-24 jet which led Russia to impose a number of sanctions on Turkey. However, from 2016 to 2019, the relationship between the two has started to improve. This was marked by various cooperation to end the civil war in Syria. Based on the theory of balance of power, Turkey should balance against Russia because every country always try to prevent one country from dominating. Instead they both cooperate. The military intervention carried out by Russia in Syria in 2015 can be analysed as an attempt to change the global balance of power, while Turkey can be categorized as a regional rising power. This article tries to answer: why Turkey choose to cooperate with Russia in Syria? I argue that the change in the Turkey's foreign policy during the AKP's increasingly harsher against the Kurds. This caused friction with the US, so that Turkey establish strategic relations with Russia to fight Kurdish in Syria.
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