破产法与货币联盟风险分担

Xuan Wang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

自2010- 2012年欧元区危机以来,关于货币联盟可行性的关键辩论一直聚焦于财政联盟在调整各国异质性方面的作用。然而,一个成熟的财政联盟在政治上可能并不可行。本文建立了一个两国一般均衡模型,以检验在没有财政联盟的情况下,资本市场联盟的破产法作为一种改善货币联盟金融稳定和福利的替代机制的好处。当国内信用风险存在时,我表明,在跨境资本市场联盟中,宽松的破产法消除了银行破产的货币外部性,因此它导致货币联盟内的帕累托改善。此外,没有浮动名义汇率,消除了一种抵消国内信贷风险的机制;我指出,放宽破产法可以弥补浮动名义汇率带来的损失。该模型提供了欧元区资本市场联盟内破产的金融稳定和福利影响。
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Bankruptcy Codes and Risk Sharing of Currency Unions
Since the Eurozone Crisis of 2010-12, a critical debate on the viability of a currency union has focused on the role of a fiscal union in adjusting for country heterogeneity. However, a fully-fledged fiscal union may not be politically feasible. This paper develops a two-country general equilibrium model to examine the benefits of the bankruptcy code of a capital markets union - in the absence of a fiscal union - as an alternative mechanism to improve the financial stability and welfare of a currency union. When domestic credit risks are present, I show that a lenient bankruptcy code in the cross-border capital markets union removes the pecuniary externality of banking insolvency, so it leads to a Pareto improvement within the currency union. Moreover, the absence of floating nominal exchange rates removes a mechanism to neutralise domestic credit risks; I show that softening the bankruptcy code can recoup the lost benefits of floating nominal exchange rates. The model provides the financial stability and welfare implications of bankruptcy within a capital markets union in the Eurozone.
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