危险率功率趋势模型下的顺序统计量威布尔分析及其在飞机数据分析中的应用

M. Doostparast, M. Hashempour, 1. E.VelayatiMoghaddam
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在工程系统中,通常假定部件的寿命是独立且同分布的。但是,组件的故障会导致剩余组件的更高负载,从而导致幸存组件的分布发生变化。对于这类系统的建模,可以使用顺序顺序统计(SOS)理论。假设组件寿命的威布尔分布和条件比例风险率模型作为SOS理论的特例,得到了不同情况下未知参数的最大似然估计。在此基础上,提出了一种新的模型,称为PTCPHM模型,并提出了PTCPHM模型下的点估计、区间估计和假设检验等统计推理方法。最后,对Mann和Fertig(1973)的飞机部件故障时间的真实数据进行了分析,以说明这里开发的模型和推理方法。
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Weibull Analysis with Sequential Order Statistics Under a Power Trend Model for Hazard Rates with Application in Aircraft Data Analysis
In engineering systems, it is usually assumed that lifetimes of components are independent and identically distributed (iid). But, the failure of a component results in a higher load on the remaining components and hence causes the distribution of the surviving components change. For modeling this kind of systems, the theory of sequential order statistics (SOS) can be used. Assuming Weibull distribution for lifetimes of components and conditionally proportional hazard rates model as a special case of the SOS theory, the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown parameters are obtained in different cases. A new model, denoted by PTCPHM, as a generalization of the iid case is proposed, and then statistical inferential methods including point and interval estimation as well as hypothesis tests under PTCPHM are then developed. Finally, a real data on failure times of aircraft components, due to Mann and Fertig (1973), is analyzed to illustrate the model and inferential methods developed here.
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