Dibyo Fabian Dofadar, Riyo Hayat Khan, Md. Golam Rabiul Alam
{"title":"基于隐马尔可夫模型的孟加拉国COVID-19确诊病例和死亡预测","authors":"Dibyo Fabian Dofadar, Riyo Hayat Khan, Md. Golam Rabiul Alam","doi":"10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The number of people affected by Coronavirus is quite concerning in Bangladesh. It has become a necessity to forecast the future cases since it involves ensuring adequate resources to help people and imposing strict guidelines to deal with this epidemic. This research is about predicting upcoming COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths from a time series dataset using Hidden Markov Model. The optimal number of hidden states were determined using AIC and BIC. The proposed models are implemented to forecast the daily confirmed cases and daily deaths of Bangladesh for next 90 days.","PeriodicalId":286026,"journal":{"name":"2021 4th International Conference on Bio-Engineering for Smart Technologies (BioSMART)","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"7","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"COVID-19 Confirmed Cases and Deaths Prediction in Bangladesh Using Hidden Markov Model\",\"authors\":\"Dibyo Fabian Dofadar, Riyo Hayat Khan, Md. Golam Rabiul Alam\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The number of people affected by Coronavirus is quite concerning in Bangladesh. It has become a necessity to forecast the future cases since it involves ensuring adequate resources to help people and imposing strict guidelines to deal with this epidemic. This research is about predicting upcoming COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths from a time series dataset using Hidden Markov Model. The optimal number of hidden states were determined using AIC and BIC. The proposed models are implemented to forecast the daily confirmed cases and daily deaths of Bangladesh for next 90 days.\",\"PeriodicalId\":286026,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2021 4th International Conference on Bio-Engineering for Smart Technologies (BioSMART)\",\"volume\":\"30 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-12-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"7\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2021 4th International Conference on Bio-Engineering for Smart Technologies (BioSMART)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2021 4th International Conference on Bio-Engineering for Smart Technologies (BioSMART)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
COVID-19 Confirmed Cases and Deaths Prediction in Bangladesh Using Hidden Markov Model
The number of people affected by Coronavirus is quite concerning in Bangladesh. It has become a necessity to forecast the future cases since it involves ensuring adequate resources to help people and imposing strict guidelines to deal with this epidemic. This research is about predicting upcoming COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths from a time series dataset using Hidden Markov Model. The optimal number of hidden states were determined using AIC and BIC. The proposed models are implemented to forecast the daily confirmed cases and daily deaths of Bangladesh for next 90 days.
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
分享
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
扫码关注我们
