城市水安全因素的类型驱动分析

L. Gong, Hong Wang, C. Jin, Lili Lu, Menghan Ma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了有效地评价城市水安全,研究了一种新的城市水安全影响因素评价体系,构建了城市水贫困评价指标体系。基于资源、可及性、容量、利用和环境的贡献率,采用水贫困指数(WPI)模型对2011-2018年甘肃省14个城市的水贫困程度进行了评价,并采用最小方差法对水贫困空间驱动类型进行了评价。案例分析结果表明,14个城市的水贫困空间驱动类型可分为4类。第一类是由环境和资源驱动的双因素主导型,包括兰州、庆阳、酒泉和嘉峪关。第二类是由准入、使用和能力驱动的三要素主导型,包括陇南、临夏和甘南。第三类是以资源、准入、能力、环境为主导的四要素主导型,包括金昌、平凉、武威、白银、张掖。第四类是五因子主导型,包括天水和定西。WPI及其模型反映的影响城市水安全因子驱动类型清晰、准确。城市水安全等级划分为建立城市水安全预警机制提供了可靠的理论和数值依据。
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Type Drive Analysis of Urban Water Security Factors
In order to effectively evaluate the urban water security, the study investigates a novel system to assess factors that impact urban water security and builds an urban water poverty evaluation index system. Based on the contribution rates of Resource, Access, Capacity, Use, and Environment, the study adopts the Water Poverty Index (WPI) model to evaluate the water poverty levels of 14 cities in Gansu during 2011–2018 and uses the least variance method to evaluate water poverty space drive types. The case study results show that the water poverty space drive types of 14 cites fall into four categories. The first category is the dual factor dominant type driven by environment and resources, which includes Lanzhou, Qingyang, Jiuquan, and Jiayuguan. The second category is the three-factor dominant type driven by Access, Use, and Capability, which includes Longnan, Linxia, and Gannan. The third category is the four-factor dominant type driven by Resource, Access, Capability, and Environment, which includes Jinchang, Pingliang, Wuwei, Baiyin, and Zhangye. The fourth category is the five-factor dominant type, which includes Tianshui and Dingxi. The driven types impacting the urban water security factors reflected by the WPI and its model are clear and accurate. The divisions of the urban water security level supply a reliable theoretical and numerical basis for an urban water security early warning mechanism.
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