美国电力行业的气候风险:一个案例研究

A. Bertolotti, Debarshi Basu, Kenza Akallal, Brian Deese
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引用次数: 10

摘要

我们通过评估市场对极端天气事件的反应来研究气候变化对美国电力公司股权投资的影响。我们假设,气候变化带来的投资风险已经存在于市场中,极端天气事件通过价格和风险错位证明了这一风险。根据发电厂的地理位置,我们建立了母公司证券对飓风、野火、洪水、干旱和温度的风险敞口,得出了一个综合气候变化风险敞口得分。我们发现,在飓风登陆后的30天内,价格反应高达1.5%,波动性上升6%。然后,我们确定每个发电厂位置的极端天气暴露,并将这些暴露汇总到上市母公司的气候风险暴露评分。
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Climate Risk in the US Electric Utility Sector: A Case Study
We investigate the impacts of climate change on equity investments in US Electric Utilities by evaluating market reactions around extreme weather events. We hypothesize that investment risk from climate change is already present in the market and that extreme weather events evidence this risk through price and risk dislocations. From the geolocation of power plants, we build up the exposure of parent company securities to hurricanes, wildfires, floods, droughts and temperatures to arrive at a combined climate change exposure score. We find price reactions of up to 1.5% and rise in volatility of 6% in the 30-day period after a hurricane make landfall. We then determine the extreme weather exposure for each power plant location and aggregate these exposures to the publicly traded parent company for a climate risk exposure score.
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