区域原始收入结构及其对经济增长的影响:来自中爪哇县和城市的事实

Wahyudi Susanto, Catur Sugianto
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在探讨区域原始收入结构对经济增长的影响。所使用的数据是2005年至2015年期间来自中爪哇35个县和城市的面板数据。数据摘自中爪哇县和城市财务审计结果报告。数据分析技术采用面板向量误差修正模型(PVECM)和面板格兰杰因果检验来确定经济增长与PAD组成部分(即区域税收收入、区域报应收入、区域财富收入和其他合法收入)之间的关系。研究结果表明,税收与经济增长之间存在单向因果关系。报偿收入与经济增长之间存在一种双向关系。区域财富收入与经济增长之间存在单向关系。区域总原始收入与经济增长之间存在单向关系。其他合法收入与经济增长之间没有关系。在短期内,一定时期的经济增长受到上年度税收收入、报偿收入和区域原始收入(PAD)的正向显著影响,而区域财富收入对经济增长的负向显著影响。从长期来看,税收收入、报应收入和区域原始收入对经济增长的影响为正且显著,而区域财富收入对经济增长的影响为负且显著。
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The Structure of Regional Original Revenue and Its Effect on Economic Growth: Facts from Regencies and Cities in Central Jawa
This study aims to determine the structure of Regional Original Revenue (PAD) in its effect on economic growth. The data used are panel data from 35 regencies and cities in Central Java for the period 2005 to 2015. Data are taken from the Regencies and Cities Financial Audit Results Reports in Central Java. Data analysis technique uses Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) and Panel Granger Causality Test to determine the relationship between economic growth and PAD components, namely regional tax revenue, regional retribution revenue, regional wealth revenue, and other legitimate revenue. The results of this study found a one-way causality relationship from tax revenue to economic growth. There is a two-way relationship occurs between retribution revenue and economic growth. There is a one-way relationship from the regional wealth revenue to economic growth. There is a one-way relationship from the total regional original revenue (PAD) to economic growth. There is no relationship between other legitimate revenue and economic growth. In the short run, the economic growth over a given period was positively and significantly affected by the tax revenue, retribution revenue and regional original revenue (PAD) of the previous year, while regional wealth revenue has a negative and significant effect on economic growth. In the long run, tax revenue, retribution revenue and regional original revenue (PAD) effect by positively and significantly to economic growth, while regional wealth revenue has a negative and significant effect on economic growth.
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