尼日利亚商业司机驾照状况对道路交通事故率的影响——以阿布贾和拉各斯为例

Adewale Tajudeen Akande
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景/目的:本研究的主要关注是商业车辆持续参与尼日利亚的道路交通事故,每年造成的死亡人数和巨大的经济成本影响。本研究的目的是了解和调查尼日利亚道路交通事故的趋势,并同样研究商用车司机的驾驶执照状况对所选两个地点道路交通事故风险的影响。材料和方法:本研究背后的方法包括比较研究设计,用于评估尼日利亚新旧首都城市的差异和相似之处的两个调查地点。该研究采用定量方法,采用了道路交通事故发生率、驾驶执照状况和社会人口特征等10个问题,这些问题改编自经过测试的五合一工具LoMICs-DBQ。这是一个直接的自我报告问卷模型,数据收集作为主要来源,这些认知问题用6点李克特量表来回答。尼日利亚财务安全委员会和国家统计局协助提供了其他相关数据。采用简单随机抽样的方法,共选取600名司机,其中只有471名司机表示同意,随后进行调查。这项研究调查获得了汽车停车场工会领导人的道德许可,参与者是阿布贾和拉各斯当地政府当局的注册巴士司机。对收集到的数据进行分析,采用SPSS 25、折线图、交叉表这一描述性统计工具、卡方和线性回归这两种推理统计工具来显示驾驶员人口学变量、驾驶证状态和事故率在两项调查中的关系。结果:表中还显示相关系数(R)为0.665,调整后的R方为0.257。这意味着拉各斯25.7%的道路事故率差异是由所有驾驶执照状态造成的。自变量对因变量的贡献不显著(F = 2.383;Df = 1,3;P >0.05),其他未包含在该模型中的变量可能解释了剩余的方差。该表还显示相关系数(R)为0。461a,调整后的R方为- 0.049。这意味着,阿布贾联邦州道路事事率差异的4.9%是由所有驾驶执照状况造成的。自变量对因变量的贡献不显著(F = .812;Df = 1,3;P >0.05),该模型中未包含的其他变量可能解释了道路事故率的剩余方差。结论:参与者的人口学变量与其驾照状态之间存在显著关系,拉各斯商业司机的驾照状态对该州商业司机的道路事故率有显著影响,阿布贾FCT商业司机的驾照状态对领土商业司机的道路事故率有显著影响。论文最后建议政策制定者采取有效、积极的政策设计、干预和执法,以减少道路上的风险和不安全驾驶行为。
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Impact of Driver’s License Status of Commercial Drivers and the Rate of Road Traffic Accidents in Nigeria: A Case Study of Abuja and Lagos
Background/Objective: The main concern of this research is the continuous involvement of commercial vehicles in road traffic accidents in Nigeria with the magnitudes of the fatalities and huge economic cost implications annually. The objective of this study is to understand and investigate the trends of road traffic accidents in Nigeria and equally examine the effect of the driver’s license status of commercial vehicle drivers on the risk of road traffic accidents in those two sites selected. Materials and Methods: The methodology behind this research includes a comparative research design for evaluation of the two survey locations of Nigeria ́s new and old capital cities with differences and similarities. The research involves quantitative method with the use of 10 questions on Incidences of road accident, driving license status and sociodemographics characteristics which was adapted from the tested five-in-one instrument called LoMICs-DBQ. It is a direct self-reported questionnaire model for data collection as the primary source with these cognitive questions to be answered with a 6-point Likert scale. Other related data was facilitated by the FRSC and National Bureau of Statistics in Nigeria. Simple Random sampling was used to select the total of 600 drivers out of which only 471 gave their consent and subsequently investigated. This study survey ethical clearance was obtained from the motor parks union leaders and participants are registered bus drivers in Abuja and Lagos within their local government authorities. The data collected was analysed using, SPSS 25, line charts, cross-tabulation which a tool for descriptive statistics, chi-square and Linear Regression which are inferential statistics tools to show relationship between the Demographic variables of the drivers, driving license status and the rate of accidents in the two survey relations. Results: The table also shows a coefficient of correlations (R) of 0.665aand the adjusted R square of .257. This means that 25.7% of the variance in the rate of road accident in Lagos is accounted for by all the Driving License Status. The contribution of the independent variable to the dependent variables was not significant (F = 2.383; df =1, 3; p>0.05) and that other variables not included in this model may have accounted for the remaining variance. The table also shows a coefficient of correlations (R) of 0. 461a, and the adjusted R square of -.049. This means that 4.9% of the variance in the rate of road accident in FCT Abuja is accounted for by all the Driving License Status. The contribution of the independent variable to the dependent variables was not significant (F = .812; df = 1, 3; p>0.05) and that other variable not included in this model may have accounted for the remaining variance in the rate of road accidents. Conclusion: There is a significant relationship between demographic variables of the participants and their driving license status, that Driving License Status of commercial drivers in Lagos has a significant effect on the rate of road accidents among the commercial drivers in the state and that Driving License Status of commercial drivers in FCT Abuja has a significant effect on the rate of road accident among the commercial drivers in the Territory. The paper concludes with recommendation for policy makers to take effective, proactive policy design, intervention, and enforcement in order to reduce risk and unsafe driving behaviour on the roads.
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