经理人财务

Pablo Fernández
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引用次数: 0

摘要

第一部分(从会计到公司财务)回答以下问题:什么是净收入?是股东“赚”的钱,公司“赚”的钱,还是某人“赚”的钱?股东权益意味着什么?是钱吗?我们表明,净收入是一个任意的数字,它取决于对费用和收入的会计处理的几个决定。我们使用三种不同的现金流定义:权益现金流(ECF),自由现金流(FCF)和资本现金流(CCF),并回答这个问题:净收入何时等于权益现金流?第二部分(股东价值创造与股东回报)对股东价值创造进行了界定、分析和计算。它还区分了预期收益和要求收益。全股东回报是公司所有股东在一段时间内的回报。它等于公司唯一股东的假设回报。它也是股东的回报,总是拥有恒定比例的股份。全期股东回报是指在整个期间持有股票的股东所获得的回报。根据股东在某一时期的行为,有多种全期股东回报:股息再投资的比例,公司回购时出售的股份比例,公司增资时认购的股份数量……大多数数据库提供了一个特定的全期股东回报,适用于100%再投资股息的股东,没有在回购中出售任何股份,也没有在公司增资时认购任何新股。在许多情况下,这些回报之间存在巨大差异。第三部分(关于估值的主题和真实案例)表明,使用从历史数据中计算出的贝塔系数来计算所需的股本回报率是一个很大的错误,原因有七个。它还展示了两个真实的公司估值案例。第四部分(其他金融和投资主题)表明,市场投资组合效率不高,在2000年至2018年期间,击败标准普尔500指数非常容易。它还显示了几个公用事业监管机构在使用CAPM计算WACC时的混淆、错误和不一致。
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Finance for Managers
The first section (from accounting to corporate finance) answers the following questions: What is the net income? Is it what the shareholders “earn”, what the company “earns”, what someone “earns”? What does shareholders´ equity mean? Is it money? We show that net income is an arbitrary number which depends on several decisions on the accounting of expenses and revenues. We use three different definitions of cash flow: equity cash flow (ECF), free cash flow (FCF) and capital cash flow (CCF) and answer to the question: When is net income equal to the equity cash flow? The second section (shareholder value creation and shareholders return) defines, analyzes and calculates shareholder value creation. It also differentiates the expected return from the required return. The all-shareholder return is the return that all the shareholders of a company had in a period. It is equal to the hypothetical return of a unique shareholder of the company. It is also the return of a shareholder that always had a constant proportion of the shares. The all-period shareholder return is the return that a shareholder that maintained the shares for the whole period had. There are many all-period shareholder returns, depending on the actions of the shareholder during the period: fraction of dividends reinvested, fraction of shares sold when the company repurchased them, number of shares subscribed when the company increased capital… Most databases provide a specific all-period shareholder return valid for a shareholder that reinvested 100% of the dividends, did not sell any share in repurchases and did not subscribe any new share when the company increased capital. In many situations, there are substantial differences among these returns. The third section (topics and real cases on valuation) shows that It is a big mistake to use betas calculated from historical data to compute the required return to equity for seven reasons. It also shows two real valuation cases of companies. The fourth section (other finance and investing topics) shows that the Market Portfolio is NOT efficient and that it has been very easy to beat the S&P500 in 2000-2018. It also shows confusions, errors and inconsistencies of several utilities regulators when calculating WACC using CAPM.
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