南苏丹朱贝克州小农采用气候适应方法的影响因素

Diana Achuk, J. Koske, G. Gathuru
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摘要

南苏丹的农业生产经历了气候变化,气候现象的不稳定发生通过频繁的干旱和洪水影响土地利用,因此需要适应气候。关于决定南苏丹农民采取气候变化适应措施的因素的信息较少。因此,本研究旨在探索影响南苏丹朱贝克州农民采取适应措施的因素。本研究采用分层抽样的方法,确定数据收集地区和调查对象,共对395名农民进行系统抽样。收集到的数据被输入并编码,然后使用逻辑回归模型进行统计分析,以分析采用气候适应的决定因素。研究发现,性别、婚姻状况、就业代码、家庭规模和农场规模显著影响气候变化适应的采用(p< 0.05)。农民在采用适应方法方面的农业活动实践有可能增加为提高作物产量而采用气候的次数。结论是,规定的政策需要纳入社会经济因素,以提供有价值和有效的气候适应方法
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Factors Determining Small-Scale Farmers’ Adoption of Climate Adaptation Methods in Jubek State, South Sudan
Agricultural production in South Sudan has experienced climate variability, the erratic occurrence of climate phenomena affects land use through frequent drought and flooding hence needs climate adaptations. There is less information about factors determining farmers adopting climate change adaptations in South Sudan. Therefore, the current research aimed at exploring factors that influence the adaptation measures taken by farmers for Jubek State in South Sudan. The study adopted a stratified sampling method to identify areas and respondents that questionnaires were administered for data collection and there were 395 farmers who were sampled systematically during the research study. The data collected were entered and coded, then statistically analysed using a logistic regression model to analyse determinants to adopting climate adaptations. The study found that gender, marital status, code of employment, size of the household, and size of the farm were significantly influencing adoption of climate changes adaptations (p< 0.05). The farmers practice of farming activities in respect to the adaptation methods used had a probability of increasing the number of climate adoption for higher crop yield. It was concluded that prescribed policies need to incorporate socio-economic factors to provide valuable and efficient climate adaptation methods
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