证券化能增强金融稳定吗?(以伊朗I.R.为例)

Mohammad Valipour Pasha, Rasool Khansari, A. Ahmadian
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摘要

作为一种增强金融体系稳定性的机制,以及允许银行从传统贷款人转变为贷款发起人和分发者的过程,证券化减少了对客户存款的依赖。此外,它还扩大贷款能力,管理银行信贷风险,并将非流动性资产转化为可出售证券。本研究采用三种格式的GMM方法对选取的16家伊朗银行进行分析。结果表明,实体部门增长积极显著地增加了伊朗经济的金融稳定性。这是因为经济规模的扩大及其对创造新的财政资源的影响。同时,不良贷款率显著降低了银行的稳定性,降低了银行从中介活动中获得收入的能力。此外,收益受到通货膨胀条件的影响,通货膨胀条件会提高银行资产负债表上的收入和权益因素。为了获得更高的收入和更高的利润,银行资源有时会被撤回,进入其他金融市场。存贷比代表了银行体系的信用风险,表明信贷领域的高风险加剧了金融稳定,因为向公众发放贷款的风险偏好可能性更高。此外,安全规模强调,尽管预计证券化会增强银行体系的金融稳定性,但其他指标也会对金融稳定性产生影响。换句话说,证券规模越大,对银行稳定性的影响就越大。此外,由于风险管理和将非流动性资产转化为可出售证券,贷款能力得到增强。
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Can Securitization Enhance Financial Stability? (Case of the I.R. of Iran)
As a mechanism to enhance financial system stability and a process that allows banks to change their role from traditional lenders to originators and distributors of loans, securitization reduces the dependence on customer deposits. Also, it expands lending capacity, manages banks credit risk, and transforms illiquid assets into saleable securities. In this research, GMM method in three formats is used for the 16 selected Iranian banks. Results show that real sector growth positively and significantly increase financial stability in the Iranian economy. This is because of the economic scale augmentation and its impact on creating new financial resources. Meanwhile, the non-performing loans ratio significantly diminishes banking stability as well as it lowers banks' capacity to generate revenues from intermediary activities. Moreover, return is affected by the inflationary conditions which heightens revenue making and equity factors in banks' balance sheets. In order to generate higher revenues and gain upper profits, banking resources are occasionally withdrawn to enter other financial markets. Loans to deposits ratio, representing the credit risk in banking systems, denotes that higher risk in credit areas exacerbates financial stability due to the higher probability of risk appetite in generating loans to the general public. Also, security size highlights that although it is expected that securitization augments the financial stability in the banking system, other indicators would also be influential on financial stability. In other words, the higher the security size, the bigger its impact on banking stability. Furthermore, Lending capacity augments as a result of risk management and transforming illiquid assets into saleable securities.
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