斯洛伐克共和国未来不会受到自动化威胁的工作

Andrea Horváthová, Michal Hrnčiar, E. Rievajová
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引用次数: 0

摘要

工业4.0带来了基于自动化和数字化的新工作形式和方法的增加,这逐渐威胁到个别国家的就业。关于这一主题发表的大多数研究都描述了面临灭绝威胁的工作的预期比例。本研究的目的是调查引入工业4.0带来的机会。本研究计算了斯洛伐克共和国受自动化威胁风险较低的工作所占比例。这是一种研究创新趋势对劳动力市场影响的独特方法,它确定了难以被机器取代的工作。受自动化威胁风险较低的工作所占比例的计算是基于两个数据源的联系- -国家职业系统(描述斯洛伐克共和国每项工作所需的技能)和工作价格信息系统(现代和有效的国家劳动力成本统计调查侧重于工资收入,包括计算各个工作职位的雇员人数)。在斯洛伐克共和国的200万劳动人口中,24%的人不会受到自动化的威胁。这些工作至少需要以下一项技能:创造力、组织和计划工作、决策和承担责任的能力、领导能力、批判性思维和才能。几位研究创新问题及其对工作的影响的作者将上述技能定义为难以被机器取代的技能。本文提出的研究结果为在国家一级进一步讨论哪些技能和能力需要在雇员的终身学习中得到支持,以防止自动化取代工作的高比率(经合组织对斯洛伐克共和国的预测)创造了空间。
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Jobs not Threatened by Automation in the Future in the Slovak Republic
Industry 4.0 brings with it an increase in new forms and methods of work based on automation and digitization, which gradually threaten jobs in individual countries. Most studies published on this topic describe the expected proportion of jobs that are threatened with extinction. The aim of the presented study is to investigate the opportunities that the introduction of Industry 4.0 brings with it. The presented study calculates the share of jobs with a low risk of being threatened by automation in the Slovak Republic. This is a unique approach to researching the impact of innovation trends on the labor market, which identifies jobs that are difficult to replace by machines. The calculation of the share of jobs with a low risk of being threatened by automation is based on the connection of two data sources – National system of occupations (a description of the skills required for every job in the Slovak Republic) and Information system on the price of work (modern and effective national labour cost statistical survey focus on wage earnings, including the calculation of the number of employees in individual job positions). Of the total number of 2 million working people in the Slovak Republic, 24% will not be threatened by automation. These are jobs that require at least one of the following skills for their performance: creativity, organizing and planning work, the ability to make decisions and take responsibility, leadership skills, critical thinking and talent. Several authors investigating the issue of innovations and their effects on jobs define the above-mentioned skills as difficult to be replaced by machines. The findings presented in the paper create space for further discussion at the national level about which skills and competences will need to be supported in lifelong learning among employees in order to prevent the high rate of replacement of jobs by automation, which the OECD predicts for the Slovak Republic.
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