决定印尼和马来西亚在欧盟市场的粗棕榈油(cpo)出口量

M. Yanita, S. Suandi
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摘要

粗棕榈油(CPO)是印尼和马来西亚的主要出口商品之一。继印度之后,欧盟已成为印尼和马来西亚CPO出口份额最高的市场。然而,印度尼西亚和马来西亚的CPO出口表明CPO对欧盟(eu)的出口受到限制。此外,欧盟还发布了可再生能源指令政策,可能影响CPO出口。因此,本研究1)描述了1990年至2019年印度尼西亚和马来西亚在欧盟的CPO出口量的发展。2)分析1990年至2019年印度尼西亚和马来西亚CPO在欧盟市场出口量的决定因素3)描述可再生能源指令(RED)政策对印度尼西亚和马来西亚CPO在欧盟市场出口的影响。本研究的数据类型为次级数据,时间范围为1990年至2019年的年度时间序列。本研究采用描述性分析,多元回归分析。结果表明,1990 - 2019年,印尼和马来西亚对欧盟CPO出口量的发展呈波动趋势,但呈上升趋势。印尼在欧盟的CPO出口量显著影响国际CPO价格、实际汇率和RED政策。相比之下,马来西亚CPO在欧盟的出口量显著影响国际CPO价格和实际汇率。RED政策对印尼和马来西亚CPO在该政策实施前后对欧盟的出口量产生了积极影响。未来,有必要在国内增加CPO的使用,并开发棕榈油衍生产品,以获得优先权和可持续性。
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DETERMINANT EXPORT VOLUME OF CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) IN INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA IN THE EUROPEAN UNION MARKET
Crude Palm Oil (CPO) is one of the leading export commodities of Indonesia and Malaysia. After India, the European Union has become the top Indonesian and Malaysian CPO export market share. However, Indonesian and Malaysian CPO exports indicate constraints on CPO exports to the European Union (E.U.). In addition, the European Union also issued a Renewable Energy Directive policy that can impact CPO exports. Therefore, this study is at 1) Describes the development of Indonesian and Malaysian CPO export volumes in the European Union from 1990 to 2019. 2) Analyze The determinants of Indonesian and Malaysian CPO export volumes in the EU Market from 1990 to 2019 3) Describe the impact of the Renewable Energy Directive (RED) policy on Indonesian and Malaysian CPO exports in the European Union Market. This study's data type is secondary data in an annual time series with a time range from 1990 to 2019. The study was analyzed descriptively, and the Regression Analysis was multiple. The results showed that the development of Indonesian and Malaysian CPO export volumes in the European Union fluctuated but tended to increase from 1990 to 2019. Indonesia's CPO export volume in the European Union significantly affects International CPO prices, real exchange rates, and RED Policies. In contrast, the volume of Malaysian CPO exports in the European Union significantly influences International CPO prices and real exchange rates. The RED policy positively influenced the volume of Indonesian and Malaysian CPO exports in the European Union before and after enacting the policy. In the future, it is necessary to increase the use of CPO in the country and develop palm oil derivative products to get priority and sustainability.
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