撒哈拉以南非洲在营养健康方面取得进展:可持续粮食生产对营养不良影响的计量经济学分析。

S. Owusu, Jianlin Chen, Ellen Merz, Chuanbo Fu
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摘要

1945年,粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)选择了拉丁语座右铭“fiat panis”,意为“让面包存在”,以防止地方性饥饿和营养健康状况不佳造成前所未有的健康灾难。尽管在这方面进行了长期努力,但对许多人来说,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲的发展中经济体,获得足够、优质和持续的食物和水供应仍然是对良好营养健康的侮辱。粮农组织报告称,全球目前有8.15亿人营养不良,占全球人口的10%。我们的研究调查了撒哈拉以南非洲国家可持续粮食生产对营养不良的影响。对撒哈拉以南非洲4个区域16个国家的动态跨国面板数据应用了一套更复杂的计量经济模型。我们的研究是创新的,因为它对可持续粮食生产和营养不良指标的现有文献做出了开创性的贡献,这些指标仍处于萌芽阶段。我们注意到,尽管撒哈拉以南非洲有大片可耕地,但它对营养不良有负面影响。我们观察到粮食生产(作物和牲畜)与农业劳动力对营养不良的影响之间存在统计学上显著的正相关关系。已提出政策建议,通过粮食生产提高营养健康水平。
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Progressing towards nutritional health in Sub-Saharan Africa: An econometric analysis of the effect of sustainable food production on malnutrition.
In 1945 the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) chose its Latin motto 'fiat panis' which translates as 'let there be bread' to prevent an unprecedented health catastrophe as a result of endemic hunger and poor nutritional health. Despite the long standing effort in this regard, for so many people, especially in developing economies in sub-Saharan Africa, access to enough, good quality, and constant supply of food and water remains an affront to good nutritional health. Globally, the FAO reports that 815 million people representing 10% of the population worldwide are currently undernourished. Our study investigates the effect of sustainable food production on malnutrition across sub-Saharan African countries. An ensemble of more sophisticated econometric models is applied to dynamic cross-country panel data from 16 countries in the 4 regions in Sub-Saharan African. Our study is innovative because it makes a pioneering contribution to the available stock of literature on indicators of sustainable food production and malnutrition which is still at an embryonic stage. We note that even though sub-Sahara African has a large tract of arable land, it negatively contributes towards malnutrition. We observed a positive and statistically significant relationship between food production (crop and livestock) and agricultural labour on malnutrition. Policy recommendations have been proposed to improve higher nutritional health through food production.
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