尼日利亚公司绩效:油价和汇率波动的影响

Osaretin Kayode Omoregie, S. Olofin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关于石油价格和汇率波动对尼日利亚经济活动和公司业绩分别产生的影响的讨论尚无定论。本研究使用结构- var /历史分解框架,调查石油价格和汇率的同时影响,以及尼日利亚采用的不同汇率制度对公司绩效的影响。这些领域的文献很少。本研究结果显示,油价冲击对企业绩效有负向影响,且有极短期的正向影响。汇率冲击对企业绩效有正向影响,但有瞬时的负向影响。此外,固定汇率制度与公司业绩下滑有关,而灵活汇率制度与公司业绩改善有关。这一结果支持多元化和灵活的汇率政策,而企业管理者应采取风险对冲策略,以缓冲油价和汇率冲击的不利综合影响。
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Corporate Performance in Nigeria: The Effect of Oil Price and Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Discussions on the separate effect of oil price and exchange rate fluctuations on economic activity and corporate performance in Nigeria are inconclusive. This study investigates the simultaneous influence of oil price and exchange rate and the impact of the different exchange rate regimes adopted in Nigeria on corporate performance, using the Structural-VAR / Historical Decomposition framework. The literature in these areas is sparse. Result from this study suggests that oil price shocks have negative influence on corporate performance with a very short-term positive influence. Exchange rate shocks have positive impact on corporate performance with an instantaneous negative effect. Also, fixed exchange regimes are associated with a downturn in corporate performance, while flexible regimes are associated with improved corporate performance. This result support diversification and flexible exchange rate policies, while corporate managers should adopt risk-hedging strategies to cushion the adverse combined effect of oil price and exchange rate shocks.
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