基于机器学习的推理的响应式维护任务的优先级

Eirini Konstantinou, A. Parlikad, Alex Wong, Charlotte Broom
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引用次数: 0

摘要

维护任务优先级对于分配资源至关重要。据估计,几乎有1/3的维护成本被浪费在不必要的活动上。任务优先级是基于风险评估的,风险评估考虑了失败的概率和资产的临界性(或失败的后果)。关键性分析由资产所有者根据几个参数定义,其中包括安全性、停机成本、生产率,而故障概率是根据劣化模型、定期人工检查或传感器确定的。由于组织的关键性能指标和维护目标之间的差异,资产的重要性在组织之间差别很大。目前,对组织来说,对资产的重要性进行定量评估是一个非常复杂的过程。它依赖于精细的加权评分方法和广泛的数据收集工作。然而,所需的数据并不总是可用的。本文提出了一种创新的方法,利用移动通信、社交网络、物联网和机器学习的进步来解决这一缺点。这种方法使用带有在线“资产配置文件”链接的资产标签将构建元素和资产联机。资产的用户可以使用手机应用程序扫描这些标签,不仅可以查看这些资产的信息,还可以在配置文件中输入描述问题和问题的“评论”。然后将自然语言处理(NLP)应用于这些注释,以估计资产的临界性。该方法通过剑桥大学物业管理学院提供的历史数据进行了验证。
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Prioritization of Responsive Maintenance Tasks via Machine Learning-based Inference
Maintenance task prioritization is essential for allocating resources. It is estimated that almost 1/3 of the maintenance cost is wasted to unnecessary activities. Task prioritization is based on risk assessment that takes into account the probability of failure and the criticality of asset (or consequence of failure). The criticality analysis is defined by the asset owner based on several parameters, among them safety, downtime cost, productivity, whilst the probability of failure is determined based on deterioration models, regular manual inspections, or sensors. The criticality of assets varies significantly between organizations, due to differences between their key performance indicators and maintenance objectives. Currently, the quantitative evaluation of the criticality of assets is a very complicated procedure for organisations. It depends on elaborate weighted score methods and extensive data collection efforts. However, the data required are not always available. This paper proposes an innovative method that exploits the advances in mobile communications, social networking, Internet of Things and machine learning to address this shortcoming. This approach brings building elements and assets online using asset tags with an online ‘asset profile’ linked to it. Users of assets are able to scan these tags using a mobile phone app to not only see the information about those assets, but also enter ‘comments’ describing issues and problems on the profiles. Natural language processing (NLP) is then applied to these c omments to estimate the criticality of assets. The proposed method is validated with historical data provided by the Estate Management, of the University of Cambridge.
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