E. Nugrahanto, S. Suprayogi, M. Hadi, R. Rahmadwiati
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引用次数: 2

摘要

克都亚流域是一个容易发生洪水的地区。发生这种情况的原因是不同的土地覆盖,其次是低森林覆盖。这种情况导致径流增加,有可能被淹没。本研究的目的是分析可塘小流域在多个回归期的规划洪流量。该研究是在2007年至2018年期间使用二手数据分析进行的。降雨分析采用了几种方法,即正态法、正态对数、pearson III对数和gumbel对数,并用卡方检验和kolmogorov smirnov检验进行了检验。规划洪流量分析采用Nakayasu合成单元线法。结果表明,选用的降雨分析方法是正常的。规划洪流量得到2年重现期最大流量1375.20 m3/s, 5年重现期1724.92 m3/s, 10年重现期1908.10 m3/s, 20年重现期2057.97 m3/s, 25年重现期2087 m3/s, 50年重现期228.67 m3/s, 100年重现期2345.24 m3/s, 1000年重现期2661.64 m3/s。大重现期洪流量呈增加趋势,1000年重现期洪流量最大。研究结果可用于科塘小流域防洪规划与管理。
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ANALISIS DEBIT BANJIR RANCANGAN DENGAN METODE HIDROGRAF SATUAN SINTETIS NAKAYASU DI SUB DAS KEDUANG (Analysis of planned flood discharge using the Nakayasu synthetic unit hydrograph in Keduang Sub Watershed)
Keduang Sub Watershed was an area prone to flooding. This happens because of the varied land cover followed by low forest cover. This circumstance leads to an increase in runoff which has the potential to become flooded. This study aims to analyze the planned flood discharge in the Keduang Sub Watershed with several return periods. The study was conducted using secondary data analysis in 2007-2018. Rainfall analysis was performed by several methods, namely normal method, normal log, pearson III log, and gumbel and tested with chi square and kolmogorov smirnov tests. Planned flood discharge analysis was using the Nakayasu synthetic unit hydrograph method. Results showed that the rainfall analysis chosen is normal method. The planned flood discharge obtained that the maximum discharge of the 2-yearly return period was 1,375.20 m3/s, the 5-yearly return period was 1,724.92 m3/s, the 10-yearly return period was 1,908.10 m3/s, the 20-yearly return period was 2,057.97 m3/s, the 25-yearly return period was 2,087 m3/s, the 50-yearly return period of 2,228.67 m3/s, the 100-yearly return period of 2,345.24 m3/s, and the 1000-yearly return period of 2,661.64 m3/s. Flood discharges are increasing in the larger return period, and the largest flood discharge occurred in the 1000-yearly return period. The results of this study are expected to be used in watershed planning and management for flood disaster mitigation in Keduang Sub Watershed.
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