面向智能能源管理的光伏发电系统发电量预测

C. K. Rao, S. Sahoo, F. F. Yanine
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引用次数: 1

摘要

世界各地都使用光伏(PV)系统来发电。由于光伏系统的输出功率是间歇性的,并且高度依赖于环境条件,因此太阳能电源在本质上是不规则的。辐照度、湿度、PV表面温度和风速只是这些变量中的一小部分。由于光伏发电的不确定性,提前规划太阳能发电至关重要。太阳能发电预测是电网供需规划的必要条件。由于太阳能发电受天气影响,且不受监管,因此这种预测既复杂又困难。选择性发展到这个目标。在基于人工神经网络(ANN)和回归模型的预测模型评估广泛使用的变量之前,使用统计、自回归移动平均、回归等传统方法来预测光伏发电。一些PV预测算法已经采用了机器学习技术。人工神经网络、支持向量机和混合技术由于机器学习方法的最新进展和对大数据的访问而变得流行起来。本研究考察了多种环境条件对光伏系统输出的影响,以及各种光伏预测方法的工作原理和应用,以便更好地理解光伏预测的见解。利用实时数据计算了影响光伏发电的重要参数。
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Forecasting Electric Power Generation in a Photovoltaic Power Systems for Smart Energy Management
Solar electricity is generated using photovoltaic (PV) systems all over the world. Solar power sources are irregular in nature since PV system output power is intermittent and highly dependent on environmental conditions. Irradiance, humidity, PV surface temperature, and wind speed are only a few of these variables. The uncertainty in photovoltaic generating, it's crucial to plan ahead for solar power generation. Solar power forecasting is required for electric grid supply and demand planning. Because solar power generation is weather-dependent and unregulated, this forecast is complicated and difficult. Selective developed to this goal. Traditional approaches such as statistics, autoregressive moving average, regression, and others were used to forecast PV power before the widespread usage variables are assessed for prediction models based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and regression models. Several PV forecasting algorithms have been of machine learning technologies. Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, and hybrid techniques have grown popular as a result of recent advances in machine learning methodologies and access to huge data. This study examines the impacts of numerous environmental conditions on PV system output, as well as the working principle and application of various PV forecasting approaches, in order to better comprehend the insights of PV prediction. Furthermore, the important parameters influencing PV generation are calculated using real-time data.
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