Self-FTS:股票日内交易中金融时间序列表示的自监督学习方法

Jifeng Sun, Yinghe Qing, Chang Liu, Jianwu Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票价格高度不稳定的波动模式使得学习有效表征对股票运动建模具有挑战性。由于优化目标不足以充分表征股票特征,常见的深度学习在经过几次训练后往往会过拟合,并且在验证集中表现不佳。在本文中,我们提出了Self-FTS,一个用于金融时间序列表示的自监督学习框架,以学习潜在的表示并在股票交易中使用,因为自监督学习是一种很有前途的学习表示技术,用于从未标记的金融数据中提取高维特征,以克服手工特征造成的偏差。具体来说,我们设计了几个辅助任务,从a股股价数据集中生成带有伪标签的样本,并构建了一个权重共享特征提取骨干,结合分类头来学习基于样本的伪标签。最后,我们通过微调带有股票收益标记的数据集来评估从主干提取的学习表征,以构建投资组合。对中国股市数据的实验分析结果表明,与现有的SOTA方法相比,我们的方法在股票趋势预测性能和实际投资收益上都有显著提高,有力地证明了我们方法的有效性。
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Self-FTS: A Self-Supervised Learning Method for Financial Time Series Representation in Stock Intraday Trading
The stock price’s highly unstable fluctuation pattern makes learning efficient representation challenging to model the stock movement. The common deep learning often overfits after a few epochs of training and performs poorly in the validation set because the optimization objective is insufficient to characterize the stock adequately. In this paper, we propose Self-FTS, a self-supervised learning framework for financial time series representation, to learn the underlying representation and use in stock trading, affected by the fact that self-supervised learning is a promising technique for learning representation for extracting high dimensional features from unlabeled financial data to overcome the bias caused by handcrafted features. Specifically, we design several auxiliary tasks to generate samples with pseudo labels from the A-share stock price data sets and build a weight-sharing feature extraction backbone combined with a classification head to learn the pseudo labels based on the samples. Finally, We evaluate the learned representations extracted from the backbone by fine-tuning data sets labelled with stock returns to build an investment portfolio. Experimental analysis results on the Chinese stock market data show that our method significantly improves the stock trend forecasting performances and the actual investment income through backtesting compared to the current SOTA method, which strongly demonstrates our effective approach.
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