2000- 2016年长期危机期间津巴布韦东南部户主返回南非的决定因素

Dick Ranga
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摘要

该研究评估了2000- 2016年长期危机期间迁移的户主的回迁情况。它收集了津巴布韦东南部四个地区166个家庭的数据。大多数男性户主以前都移徙过,其中一半迁往南非。非移民户主主要是妇女,她们在丈夫迁移到南非或城市地区后仍留在当地。2011年至2015年期间,这两位从南非和当地城市地区移民回来的首领都希望与家人团聚。这一时期与津巴布韦公司为在经济萎缩中生存而进行的严重裁员有关。然而,由于采用多种货币带来的稳定,这也是一个吸引国际移民回国的时期。2015年在南非发生的仇外袭击也“迫使”一些人返回家园。国际回返移徙者明显比国内和非移徙者年轻,受教育程度较低。十分之三的人回到了以传统小屋为主要住所的家庭这表明他们的迁移是不成功的。危机过后有必要尽快恢复稳定,因为这有助于吸引人力资本回流。
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Determinants of the Return Migration of Household Heads from South Eastern Zimbabwe to South Africa During Prolonged Crisis, 2000-16
The study assessed return migration by heads of households that migrated during the prolonged crisis, 2000-16. It collected data among 166 households from four districts in South Eastern Zimbabwe. Most of the male household heads had previously migrated, half of them to South Africa. Non-migrant heads were mainly females who remained behind when their husbands migrated to South Africa or urban areas. Both heads who returned from migrating to South Africa and locally to urban areas came back during 2011-15 with the desire to reunite with families. This period was associated with severe retrenchments by Zimbabwean companies that attempted to survive the shrinking economy. Yet it was also an attractive period to return home for international migrants because of the stability brought by the adoption of multiple currencies. Xenophobic attacks in South Africa in 2015 also ‘pushed’ some of the heads into returning home. International return migrants were significantly younger and had lower levels of education than internal and non-migrants. Three-tenths of them returned into households having traditional huts as their main houses which suggested that migration was unsuccessful for them. There is a need for restoration of stability soon after a crisis since this helps attract back human capital.
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