基于文本挖掘的K-X坦克备件需求预测方法

Jaedong Kim
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引用次数: 3

摘要

备件需求预测是国防后勤的关键任务之一,由于准确性低会导致大量的预算浪费,各军队使用信息管理系统对过去的备件消耗数据信息进行分析,并按时间序列预测各个零件的需求。然而,需求预测的低准确性有待提高。在本研究中,我们首先收集了大量的备件消费数据,并导出了包括非结构化文本数据在内的几个特征,利用它们来识别备件消费数据中的精细模式。我们的方法在需求预测方面表现出更高的定量准确性。结果表明,与现有的时间序列相比,该方法的预测精度更高。
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Text Mining-based Approach for Forecasting Spare Parts Demand of K-X Tanks
One of the critical tasks of the defense logistics is the demand forecasting of spare parts, Because low-toned accuracy can lead to substantial budget wastes, Each military used the information management system to analyze the past spare parts consumption data information and predicted the demand of each part in a time series. However, a low-toned accuracy of the demand forecasting should be improved. In our study, we gathered a large amount of spare part consumption data first and derived several features including unstructured textual data to utilize them in the discrimination of fastidious patterns in the spare part consumption data. Our approach shows improved performance in demand forecasting with higher quantitative accuracy. The result shows better prediction accuracy than the existing time series.
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