{"title":"太阳黑子和农业股票价格的趋势-使用机器学习和深度神经网络寻找相关性和预测趋势","authors":"Kwan Yeung Liu","doi":"10.1145/3569966.3570098","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"According to previous research, sunspots and weather conditions have both direct and latent economic impacts, such as human financial activities. The goal of this project was to see if machine learning and deep neural network methods could reveal a link between natural phenomena, specifically sunspots, weather, and agricultural stock price trends. I suggested that some of these natural events could be related to the price trends of individual equities. Using machine learning and deep neural network methods, I analysed at both the general Dow Jones index level and the particular agriculture stock level. Outperforming other models, the LSTM (Long-Short-Term Memory) model produced an MSE (Mean Squared Error) error of 9.91 between the sunspot number and various agricultural price patterns, which was far lower than my hypothesis. The outcome shifts from standard algorithm trading to a completely new aspect, with (space) meteorological factors playing critical roles for the first time. The implications of these results extended far beyond commercial advantages. The findings provided unique proof that not only our commercial world is impacted by space weather, the impact of which can also be digitally recorded and anticipated. This preliminary but effective study established a computer link between space weather and human business behavior, sparking one's vivid imagination of the forces at work.","PeriodicalId":145580,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Computer Science and Software Engineering","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Trends in Sunspots & Agriculture Stock Prices - Finding Correlations and Predicting Trends Using Machine Learning and Deep Neural Networks\",\"authors\":\"Kwan Yeung Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1145/3569966.3570098\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"According to previous research, sunspots and weather conditions have both direct and latent economic impacts, such as human financial activities. The goal of this project was to see if machine learning and deep neural network methods could reveal a link between natural phenomena, specifically sunspots, weather, and agricultural stock price trends. I suggested that some of these natural events could be related to the price trends of individual equities. Using machine learning and deep neural network methods, I analysed at both the general Dow Jones index level and the particular agriculture stock level. Outperforming other models, the LSTM (Long-Short-Term Memory) model produced an MSE (Mean Squared Error) error of 9.91 between the sunspot number and various agricultural price patterns, which was far lower than my hypothesis. The outcome shifts from standard algorithm trading to a completely new aspect, with (space) meteorological factors playing critical roles for the first time. The implications of these results extended far beyond commercial advantages. The findings provided unique proof that not only our commercial world is impacted by space weather, the impact of which can also be digitally recorded and anticipated. This preliminary but effective study established a computer link between space weather and human business behavior, sparking one's vivid imagination of the forces at work.\",\"PeriodicalId\":145580,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Computer Science and Software Engineering\",\"volume\":\"28 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-10-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Computer Science and Software Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1145/3569966.3570098\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Computer Science and Software Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3569966.3570098","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
根据之前的研究,太阳黑子和天气状况对经济有直接和潜在的影响,比如人类的金融活动。这个项目的目标是看看机器学习和深度神经网络方法是否可以揭示自然现象之间的联系,特别是太阳黑子、天气和农业股票价格趋势。我认为,其中一些自然事件可能与个别股票的价格趋势有关。使用机器学习和深度神经网络方法,我分析了道琼斯指数水平和特定农业股票水平。LSTM (long - short - short Memory,长短期记忆)模型在太阳黑子数量与各种农产品价格模式之间产生的MSE(均方误差)误差为9.91,远低于我的假设,优于其他模型。结果从标准的算法交易转向了一个全新的方面,(空间)气象因素首次发挥了关键作用。这些结果的含义远远超出了商业优势。这些发现提供了独特的证据,证明不仅我们的商业世界受到太空天气的影响,其影响也可以通过数字记录和预测。这项初步但有效的研究在太空天气和人类商业行为之间建立了计算机联系,激发了人们对工作力量的生动想象。
Trends in Sunspots & Agriculture Stock Prices - Finding Correlations and Predicting Trends Using Machine Learning and Deep Neural Networks
According to previous research, sunspots and weather conditions have both direct and latent economic impacts, such as human financial activities. The goal of this project was to see if machine learning and deep neural network methods could reveal a link between natural phenomena, specifically sunspots, weather, and agricultural stock price trends. I suggested that some of these natural events could be related to the price trends of individual equities. Using machine learning and deep neural network methods, I analysed at both the general Dow Jones index level and the particular agriculture stock level. Outperforming other models, the LSTM (Long-Short-Term Memory) model produced an MSE (Mean Squared Error) error of 9.91 between the sunspot number and various agricultural price patterns, which was far lower than my hypothesis. The outcome shifts from standard algorithm trading to a completely new aspect, with (space) meteorological factors playing critical roles for the first time. The implications of these results extended far beyond commercial advantages. The findings provided unique proof that not only our commercial world is impacted by space weather, the impact of which can also be digitally recorded and anticipated. This preliminary but effective study established a computer link between space weather and human business behavior, sparking one's vivid imagination of the forces at work.