煤矿爆炸预测数据挖掘技术的比较研究

S. Namazi, L. Brankovic, B. Moghtaderi, J. Zanganeh
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摘要

全球变暖是一种长期的环境危害,其表现为地球温度的逐渐升高。它是由大气中温室气体的积累引起的,包括二氧化碳和甲烷。虽然就体积而言,甲烷被认为是仅次于二氧化碳的,但与100年的时间相比,甲烷的危害大约是二氧化碳的21倍。地下煤矿逸散的甲烷排放是全球变暖的重要原因。在所有已知的减少逸散甲烷的方法中,热氧化(或简单地说,燃烧)的应用被认为是最有效和实用的。这一过程产生水蒸气和二氧化碳,它们对大气的不利影响比甲烷要小得多。热氧化剂在高温下工作,这可能会给矿井带来火灾和爆炸的危险。为了降低这种风险,彻底了解甲烷爆炸特性是必不可少的。在煤矿井下条件下进行甲烷火灾和爆炸实验,成本高,风险大,需要大量的准备工作和安全程序。通过分析现有数据来发现模式和预测爆炸,比进行新的大规模实验更便宜、更安全。在本文中,我们对用于这些目的的数据挖掘和机器学习技术进行了比较研究。
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Comparative Study of Data Mining Techniques for Predicting Explosions in Coal Mines
Global warming is a long-term environmental hazard demonstrated by a gradual increase in the temperature of the Earth. It is caused by the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, including carbon dioxide and methane. Although, in terms of the volume, methane is considered secondary to carbon dioxide, it is about 21 times more damaging when compared over a 100-year period. Fugitive methane emissions from underground coal mines significantly contribute to global warming. Amongst all the known methods to reduce the fugitive methane, application of thermal oxidation (or, simply, burning) is deemed the most effective and practical. This process produces water vapour and carbon dioxide, which has significantly lower adverse impact on the atmosphere than methane. The thermal oxidisers operate at high temperatures, which may introduce a risk of fire and explosion to the mine. In order to mitigate such risk, a thorough understanding of the methane explosion characteristics is essential. Methane fire and explosion experiments under conditions pertinent to underground coal mines are expensive, risky and necessitate significant effort, and thus require enormous preparation and safety procedures. It is cheaper and safer to analyse existing data to discover patterns and predict explosions than to conduct new extensive experiments. In this paper, we present a comparative study of data mining and machine learning techniques used for these purposes.
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