独立的中央银行与货币与财政政策的相互作用

Athanasios Orphanides
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引用次数: 11

摘要

货币政策对财政的影响在零下限时尤为明显。发达经济体的独立央行有相当大的回旋余地,可以在不损害价格稳定的情况下缓解政府面临的财政压力。他们也有能力制造不必要的财政问题。财政紧缩可以作为对“行为不端的”政府的一种激励,因为政府似乎不愿采取结构性改革,而在央行看来,结构性改革可能符合一个国家的长期利益。证实对违约的担忧和政府债务的高风险溢价可能是阻止央行所认为的“道德风险”的有力工具。有时,独立的央行可能会试图超越自己的职责,利用其相当大的自由裁量权来实现他们认为更好的经济结果。应该如何使用这种权力?民主合法性的界限得到尊重了吗?比较日本央行(Bank of Japan)和欧洲央行(ecb)近期的政策记录可以发现,独立央行并非总能令人满意地平衡不可避免的紧张关系。
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Independent Central Banks and the Interplay between Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Monetary policy has fiscal implications that are especially pronounced at the zero lower bound. Independent central banks in advanced economies have considerable leeway to ease fiscal pressures faced by governments without compromising price stability. They also have the power to create unnecessary fiscal problems. A fiscal squeeze can serve as an incentive against a “misbehaving” government that appears reluctant to adopt the structural reforms that, in the central bank’s view, may be in the long-term interest of a country. Validating default fears and high risk premiums on government debt can be a potent tool to discourage what the central bank perceives as “moral hazard.” At times, independent central banks may be tempted to step outside their mandate and use their considerable discretionary authority to achieve what they perceive as better economic outcomes. How should this authority be used? Are the limits of democratic legitimacy respected? Comparing the recent policy records of the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank suggests that independent central banks have not always managed to balance the inevitable tensions satisfactorily.
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