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引用次数: 1
摘要
尼日利亚中央银行(Central Bank of Nigeria)在银行现金储备整合后的变动似乎很频繁,目的是控制银行的现金供应、信贷成本和信贷预付款,以促进部门和整体GDP增长。利用GARCH模型分析2004-2014年银行现金储备、银行信贷、GDP和银行现金持有量数据的研究结果表明,研究变量存在波动性;尼日利亚银行现金储备和银行持有现金的波动性与银行信贷波动之间存在显著的正相关关系,这表明现金准备金作为流动性管理工具在尼日利亚控制银行贷款方面是无效的,这表明准备金要求可能无法有效约束银行贷款,因为银行似乎绕过监管控制,通过其他方式创造信贷。这就需要尼日利亚中央银行选择其他流动性管理工具,如引入信贷窗口的变化,以加强现金管理。银行信贷波动与尼日利亚国内生产总值之间的积极和显著关系要求执行旨在增加信贷预付款以增加生产和经济增长的货币政策。
Post-consolidation cash reserve volatility, bank credits and economic growth in Nigeria
Post-consolidation variations in banks' cash reserves by the Central Bank of Nigeria, are seemingly frequent, aimed at controlling cash availability at banks, cost of credit, and credit advances to facilitate sectoral and overall GDP growth. Research results of analysed data of banks' cash reserves, bank credit, GDP and cash holdings by banks from 2004-2014 using GARCH model show that there exists volatility in the study variables; and a positive and significant relationship exists between volatility in banks' cash reserves and cash held by banks in Nigeria and volatility in bank credit indicating that cash reserve requirement as a liquidity management tool is ineffective in Nigeria in controlling bank lending suggesting that reserve requirements may not effectively constrain bank lending as banks seem to circumvent regulatory controls, creating credit through other means. This necessitates the Central Bank of Nigeria to opt for other liquidity management tools such as introduction of changes in credit window that would enhance cash management. The positive and significant relationship between volatility in bank credit and Nigeria's GDP necessitates the implementation of monetary policies aimed at increasing credit advances to increase production and economic growth.