基于卷积的机器学习减少大城市的Covid-19感染

H. Nieto-Chaupis
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文提出了一个基于卷积理论并转化为机器学习哲学的非线性数学模型。本质上,峰值函数被假设为大城市感染率的模式。以这种方式,一旦这些模式的自由参数被确定,那么人们就会继续参与著名的米切尔标准,以构建算法,该算法将产生最佳估计,以实施社会干预,并预测有关感染分布的主要特征的日期。分布由狄拉克-三角洲函数建模,该函数的尖峰特性用于进行数值卷积。以这种方式,狄拉克- δ函数参数的参数被解释为确定社会管制日期(如隔离)以及第一波结束的可能日期和第二波开始的可能时期的模型参数。理论和计算方法通过一个依赖自由参数的爆发案例来说明,模拟实施新的规则来阻止感染。
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Convolution-based Machine Learning To Attenuate Covid-19’s Infections in Large Cities
In this paper a nonlinear mathematical model based at convolution theory and translated in terms of Machine Learning philosophy is presented. In essence, peaks functions are assumed as the pattern of rate of infections at large cities. In this manner, once the free parameters of theses patterns are identified then one proceeds to engage to the well-known Mitchell’s criteria in order to construct the algorithm that would yield the best estimates as to carry out social intervention as well as to predict dates about the main characteristics of infection’s distributions. The distributions are modeled by the Dirac-Delta function whose spike property is used to make the numerical convolutions. In this manner the parameters of Dirac-Delta function’s argument are interpreted as the model parameters that determine the dates of social regulation such as quarantine as well as the possible date of end of first wave and potential periods of the beginning of a second one. The theoretical and computational approach is illustrated with a case of outbreak depending on free parameters simulating the implementation of new rules to detain the infections.
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