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引用次数: 2

摘要

外层空间再次面临新的竞争。与前几十年只有两三个航天大国的太空探索不同,到21世纪之交,有60多个参与者使外层空间环境拥挤不堪。太空不再是国家玩家的领域。尽管这主要是一种西方现象,但商业参与者作为主要参与者的现实正在创造新的动态。不断变化的权力转移正在使外层空间充满争议和竞争。与此同时,安全可靠地进入外层空间正受到空间碎片、空间军事化、射频干扰和潜在的空间军备竞赛等一系列新老威胁的挑战。虽然现有一些基本条约和法律文书来管理外层空间活动,但这些条约和法律文书已经变得过于宽泛,无法有效地限制目前可能使外层空间在较长期内无法进入的趋势。需要以负责任的行为规范、透明度和建立信任措施(TCBMs)(如行为准则)、政府专家组(GGE)和法律机制等形式制定新的道路规则,这对于安全、可靠和不间断地进入外层空间是绝对必要的。目前制定这些措施的努力充满了挑战,从确定问题的协议到构思可能的解决方案。这一方面反映了权力平衡的变化,另一方面,技术向大量玩家扩散,这使得决策过程出现了很多问题。事实上,正是决策方面的危机和主要空间大国之间缺乏协商一致意见阻碍了制定有效外层空间制度的进程。
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Space Governance
Outer space is once again facing renewed competition. Unlike in the earlier decades of space exploration when there were two or three spacefaring powers, by the turn of the 21st century, there are more than 60 players making the outer space environment crowded and congested. Space is no more a domain restricted to state players. Even though it is mostly a western phenomenon, the reality of commercial players as a major actor is creating new dynamics. The changing power transitions are making outer space contested and competitive. Meanwhile, safe and secure access to outer space is being challenged by a number of old and new threats including space debris, militarization of space, radio frequency interference, and potential arms race in space. While a few foundational treaties and legal instruments exist in order to regulate outer space activities, they have become far too expansive to be useful in restricting the current trend that could make outer space inaccessible in the longer term. The need for new rules of the road in the form of norms of responsible behavior, transparency and confidence building measures (TCBMs) such as a code of conduct, a group of governmental experts (GGE), and legal mechanisms, is absolutely essential to have safe, secure, and uninterrupted access to outer space. Current efforts to develop these measures have been fraught with challenges, ranging from agreement on identifying the problems to ideating possible solutions. This is a reflection of the shifting balance of power equations on the one hand, and the proliferation of technology to a large number of players on the other, which makes the decision-making process a lot problematic. In fact, it is the crisis in decision making and the lack of consensus among major space powers that is impeding the process of developing an effective outer space regime.
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