评估政府信贷支持的成本:经合组织背景

Deborah J. Lucas
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引用次数: 38

摘要

经合组织各国政府通过信贷相关活动分配了很大一部分社会资本和风险。因此,准确估计信贷支助方案的费用是有效分配资源、透明度、有效管理和公众监督的先决条件。我发现,经合组织各国政府通常将其资本成本视为自己的借款利率,而不是使用加权平均资本成本,后者包括纳税人和普通公众作为股权持有人承担的风险成本。这种做法已在政府会计和预算规则中制度化,导致信贷支持的成本估算,相对于确认风险全部成本的公允价值指标,有明显的向下偏差。欧洲复兴开发银行(European Bank for Reconstruction and Development)、欧洲稳定机制(European Stability Mechanism)和田纳西河谷管理局(Tennessee Valley Authority)的分析说明了这些扭曲的规模和可能的实际后果。——黛博拉·卢卡斯
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Evaluating the Cost of Government Credit Support: The OECD Context
type="main" xml:id="ecop12034-abs-0001"> Governments throughout the OECD allocate a large share of societies' capital and risk through their credit-related activities. Hence, accurate cost estimates for credit support programmes are a prerequisite for efficient resource allocation, transparency, effective management and public oversight. I find that OECD governments generally take their cost of capital to be their own borrowing rate, rather than using a weighted-average cost of capital that includes the cost of risk borne by taxpayers and the general public in their role as equity holders. That practice, which is institutionalised in government accounting and budgetary rules, results in cost estimates for credit support that are significantly downwardly biased relative to a fair-value metric that recognises the full cost of risk. The size and possible real consequences of those distortions are illustrated with analyses of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the European Stability Mechanism and the Tennessee Valley Authority. — Deborah Lucas
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