运用熵值转移法研究德黑兰证券交易所的金融危机,并与美国金融市场进行比较

Arefeh Mohaghegh, M. Hamidian, Seyed Ali Hosseiny Esfidvajani, G. Jafari
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摘要

这项工作旨在分析德黑兰证券交易所金融市场中嵌入其转移熵的股票之间的关系。在这方面,研究了德黑兰证券交易所180家公司指数之间的传递熵行为。然后在传递熵的变化趋势中寻找市场危机的足迹。这一结果与对美国证券交易所道琼斯工业指数成分股的分析结果进行了比较。为了研究德黑兰证券交易所的金融危机,本文分析了2008年至2018年期间该市场上180家活跃公司的股价数据。我们观察到,道琼斯集团指数的平均两两传递熵在美国金融危机期间下降。在伊朗,除了美国之外,金融危机在研究期间并没有在两两转移熵中留下足迹。这样的观察提示了未来对伊朗和美国指数的成对和可能的集体行为的研究。
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Investigating the financial crisis of the Tehran Stock Exchange using the entropy method of transfer and comparing it with the US financial market
This work aims to analyze the relationship between stocks in the financial market of the Tehran Stock Exchange embedded in their transfer entropy. In this regard, the behavior of the transfer entropy between indices of 180 corporations of the Tehran Stock Exchange has been studied. Then the footprint of crises of the market has been searched in the trends of the transfer entropy. The result has been compared with the result of the analysis imposed on the stocks included in the Dow Jones industrial index in the stock exchanges of the United States. In order to investigate the financial crisis of the Tehran Stock Exchange, the stock price data of 180 companies in this market that were active in the period from 2008 to 2018 are analyzed. It is observed that the average pairwise transfer entropy of indices in the Dow Jones group declines over the financial crises in the United States. In Iran, despite the United States, the financial crises have not left a footprint in the pairwise transfer entropy over the studied period. Such an observation suggests future studies on the pairwise and possibly collective behaviors of indices in Iran and the United States.
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