热带条件下农业技术转移决策支持系统SUBSTOR马铃薯模型(v4.5)的评价

M. M. Nand, Viliamu Iese, U. Singh, M. Wairiu, A. Jokhan, R. Prakash
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引用次数: 3

摘要

农业技术转移决策支持系统(DSSAT) SUBSTOR马铃薯模型(v4.5)使用Desiree品种进行校准。DSSAT SUBSTOR马铃薯模型利用气候、土壤和作物管理等输入,每天模拟马铃薯的发育和生长。该试验于2012年马铃薯生长季节在斐济群岛Banisogosogo进行。地下植物成分(块茎)的鲜重和干重是在逐步收获期间测定的。DSSAT SUBSTOR马铃薯模型使用试验田数据、土壤和生长季节的天气数据进行校准。手动校准步骤包括重新计算土壤含水量和调整遗传系数,以适应与实验条件相似的温度和日长制度。以块茎干重作为评价模型的主要参数。重复区1、重复区2和重复区3校正前的观测和模拟模型输出的R2值分别为0.52、0.49和0.61。校正后,重复区1、重复区2和重复区3块茎干产量的R2值分别为0.88、0.66和0.92,表明模拟产量与观测产量呈正相关。
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Evaluation of decision support system for agrotechnology transfer SUBSTOR potato model (v4.5) under tropical conditions
Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) SUBSTOR Potato model (v4.5) was calibrated using Desiree variety. DSSAT SUBSTOR Potato model simulates on a daily basis the development and growth of potatoes using inputs such as climate, soil and crop management. The experiment was conducted in Banisogosogo, Fiji Islands, during the potato growing season of 2012. Fresh and dry weights of belowground plant component (tubers) were taken during progressive harvests. The DSSAT SUBSTOR Potato model was calibrated using experimental field data, soil and weather data of the growing season. The manual calibration steps involved recalculation of soil water content and the adjustments of genetic co-efficient to suit the temperature and daylength regime similar to the experimental conditions. Tuber dry weight was used as the main parameter to evaluate the model. The R2 values of the observed and simulated model outputs before calibration for replicate plot 1, replicate plot 2 and replicate plot 3 were 0.52, 0.49 and 0.61 respectively. After calibration, the R2 values for tuber dry yield for replicate plot 1, replicate plot 2 and replicate plot 3 were 0.88, 0.66 and 0.92 respectively indicating a strong positive relationship between the simulated and the observed yield.
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