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引用次数: 4

摘要

贝叶斯还是Bust?John Earman试图用贝叶斯术语表达一种“可投射性”,即“所有祖母绿都是绿色的”和“所有祖母绿都是蓝色的”同时是可投射的,这在逻辑上是不可能的。我认为Earman忽略了一个重要的意义,即这两个假设不可能都是可投射的。这种感觉很重要,因为它允许投射性与法律相似性联系起来,正如古德曼所希望的那样。这种联系是否暗示了一种解决古德曼著名之谜的方法仍然没有定论,等待一个与法律相似的解释。我探索了一条思路,可能会被证明是有启发性的。
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Earman on the Projectibility of Grue
In Bayes or Bust?, John Earman attempts to express in Bayesian terms a sense of "projectibility" in which it is logically impossible for "All emeralds are green" and "All emeralds are grue" simultaneously to be projectible. I argue that Earman overlooks an important sense in which these two hypotheses cannot both be projectible. This sense is important because it allows projectibility to be connected to lawlikeness, as Goodman intended. Whether this connection suggests a way to resolve Goodman's famous riddle remains unsettled, awaiting an account of lawlikeness. I explore one line of thought that might prove illuminating.
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