基于ELECTRETRI算法的呼罗珊拉扎维省卡沙弗鲁德集水区洪水易感性排序图

Abolfazl Abdallah, A. Mohammadian, Mojgan Pashaie Nejad
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摘要

洪水是影响我国大部分地区并造成生命财产损失的自然灾害之一;因此,确定易受洪水影响的地区是减少损失的最重要措施之一。分集水区的分类和优先排序是对抗或减轻流域洪水影响的第一步。在此基础上,采用基于乐观程序和一致性控制视角的ELECTRE-TRI算法,对“呼罗珊-拉扎维”省“Kashafrud”流域各子流域洪水潜力进行分类。为此,研究了目标区1:25万地形图和水道图,将目标区划分为10个子流域,并对流域形态因子、延伸比、圆度比、分叉比、排水密度、平均流域坡度和面积等8个形态水文参数进行了评价。评价结果表明,“马什哈德”和“托尔加贝”子流域因其排水密度值高、分岔比值低而具有较高的洪涝风险,对洪涝潜力的影响高于其他因素。此外,切纳兰、嘎兹干及其子流域的洪水风险较低,因为增加洪水潜力的因子值较低,而减少洪水潜力的因子值较高。
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The Map of Kashafrud Catchments Prioritization in terms of Flooding Susceptibility Located in Khorasan Razavi Province Based on ELECTRETRI Algorithm
Flooding is one of the natural disasters which have effects most areas of the country and caused the loss of life and property; therefore, identifying of areas which are susceptible to flooding is one the most important measures in reducing losses. Classification and prioritization of sub-catchments is the first step to counter or mitigate the effects of flooding in the drainage basins. On this basis, the purpose of this study was to classify the flooding potential of sub-catchments of “Kashafrud” catchment in the “Khorasan Razavi” province by the use of ELECTRE-TRI Algorithm based on optimistic procedure and consistency control perspectives. To achieve this, the 1: 250,000 topographic map and waterways map of the target area were studied and area was divided into 10 sub-basins, then 8 morph hydrological parameters affecting the flooding potential including basin’s form factor, elongation ratio, circularity ratio, bifurcation ratio, drainage density, Mean basin slope and area were evaluated. After the evaluation, it was found that “Mashhad” and “Torghabe” subbasins had a high-risk of flooding because of the high value of drainage density and low value of bifurcation ratio in these areas, which both have a higher effect in flooding potential compared to other factors. Toos, Chenaran, Qazqan and sub-basins had a low risk of flooding because of the low values of the factors which increase the flooding potential and high values of the factors which decrease it.
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