评价问题赌博治疗效果的多层次混合效应模型

L. Pérez, Ana Rodríguez, A. Shmarev
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摘要

问题赌博治疗是当今一个具有挑战性的话题。本文提出了一个经验模型,用于评估问题赌博治疗的有效性,使用一组西班牙协会致力于赌博成瘾问题治疗的问题赌徒的样本。数据由多层嵌套组(个人和问题赌博康复中心)组成。一个多层次,混合效应的逻辑回归被使用,允许控制未观察到的异质性在不同的问题赌博协会。研究结果似乎表明,年龄、家族史、婚姻状况或工作情况等个人因素,以及行为因素(以前辍学、治疗期间复发或使用其他物质)都会影响治疗赌博障碍的效果。对治疗效果预测因素的分析可能有助于根据个别患者的特点调整治疗技术,并有助于评估治疗中心设计的方案。
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A Multilevel Mixed Effects Model to Evaluate Effectiveness of Treatment for Problem Gambling
Problem gambling treatment is a challenging present-day topic. This paper proposes an empirical model for evaluating the effectiveness of treatment for problem gambling using a sample of problem gamblers treated by a set of Spanish associations dedicated to gambling addiction issues. Data consists of multiple levels of nested groups (individuals and problem gambling recovery centres). A multi-level, mixed-effects logistic regression is used which permits controlling for unobserved heterogeneity across different problem gambling associations. The results seem to indicate that individual aspects such as age, family history, marital status or work situation, but also behavioural factors (previous dropouts, relapses during treatment, or consumption of other substances) are found to affect the effectiveness of treatment for gambling disorders. The analysis of the predictors for treatment efficacy may help treatment techniques to be adapted depending on the characteristics of individual patients and to evaluate programmes designed by treatment centres.
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