拍卖中不可观察异质性的订单统计方法

Yao Luo, Peijun Sang, Ruli Xiao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们建立了具有连续未观察异质性的拍卖模型的非参数识别,使用三个连续的出价顺序统计或两个工具。然后,我们提出了不可观测异质性和私有值的联合分布及其条件分布和边际分布的筛极大似然估计。最后,我们将我们的方法应用于中国司法拍卖的新数据集。我们的估计表明,在设定保留价格时,考虑到未观察到的异质性会带来实质性的收益。我们提出了一种简单的方案,利用评估值作为保留价格来获得接近最优的收益。
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Order Statistics Approaches to Unobserved Heterogeneity in Auctions
We establish nonparametric identification of auction models with continuous unobserved heterogeneity using either three consecutive order statistics of bids or two with an instrument. We then propose sieve maximum likelihood estimators for the joint distribution of unobserved heterogeneity and private value, as well as their conditional and marginal distributions. Lastly, we apply our methodology to a novel dataset from judicial auctions in China. Our estimates suggest substantial gains from accounting for unobserved heterogeneity when setting reserve prices. We propose a simple scheme that achieves nearly optimal revenue by using the appraisal value as the reserve price.
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