预测交通事故严重程度的机器学习技术

Hmamed Hala, Cherrafi Anass, B. Rajaa, Benghabrit Youssef, J. Garza‐Reyes
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世界怎么强调道路交通安全的重要性都不为过,因为它是生活不可分割的一部分。因此,最近在使用机器学习技术评估道路交通事故方面取得了显著进展。本研究通过识别导致事故严重程度的许多因素(与驾驶员、基础设施、车辆....相关),检验了机器学习在构建道路安全模型中的应用基于真实数据集、决策树、朴素贝叶斯、支持向量机、k近邻和多层感知机,已经进行了不同的分类算法来预测事故的严重程度。我们使用准确率和接收者工作特征(ROC)来比较每种算法的性能,以确保所提出的模型提供稳定可靠的预测决策。研究结果表明,与其他模型相比,最准确的模型是支持向量机、k近邻和多层感知机,分别为91%、92%和94%。
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Machine learning techniques for forecasting the traffic accident severity
The world cannot overstate the importance of road traffic safety, as it is an integral part of life. As consequence, there has been recently a marked advance in the use of machine learning techniques for the assessment of road traffic crashes. This study inspects the use of machine learning to build road safety model, by recognizing many factors that lead to accident severity, related to drivers, infrastructures, vehicles…. Different classification algorithms have been conducted to predict the severity of accidents based on real dataset, Decision Tree, Naives Bayes, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Multilayer Perceptron. We compared the performance of each algorithm using the accuracy and the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC), to ensure that the proposed model provides stable and reliable predictive decisions. The finding revealed that the most accurate models are Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbors and Multilayer Perceptron with respectively 91% 92% 94% against the others models.
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