半年度收益公告有多重要?信息事件透视图

Stephen L Taylor, Alex Tong
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摘要

使用一种避免需要指定盈利预期的方法(Ball and Shivakumar 2008),我们证明了围绕澳大利亚公司半年一次的盈利公告的时期,平均而言,是一个重要的信息来源。虽然有很大的年度变化,但我们没有观察到任何显著的时间趋势的证据,并且还得出结论,从澳大利亚国内公认会计准则到国际财务报告准则的转变并没有影响盈利公告窗口和股票回报之间的关联。我们也没有发现证据表明盈利公告的信息量会随着公司规模、分析师跟踪或经济新闻(即股票回报是正还是负、利润还是亏损)而系统性地变化,尽管我们确实观察到各行业之间存在显著差异。通过将收益发布日期与发布前几天或收益公告窗口以外的高信息日进行对比,我们的结论得到了进一步的支持。使用相对于先前研究更精确的事件窗口(即三小时与三天),我们确认收益公告包含有关基本面的重要新信息。
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How Important Are Semi-Annual Earnings Announcements? An Information Event Perspective
Using a method that avoids the need to specify earnings expectations (Ball and Shivakumar 2008), we demonstrate that the period surrounding the semi-annual announcement of Australian firms’ earnings is, on average, an important source of information. Although there is substantial year-to-year variation, we observe no evidence of any significant time trend, and also conclude that a shift from Australian domestic GAAP to IFRS did not impact the association between earnings announcement windows and stock returns. We also find no evidence that the informativeness of earnings announcements varies systematically with firm size, analyst following or economic news (i.e., positive versus negative stock returns, profits versus losses), although we do observe significant variation across industries. Our conclusion is further supported by contrasting the earnings release date with the days immediately prior to release, or high information days other than earnings announcement windows. Using a more precise event window relative to prior studies (i.e., three hours versus three days), we confirm that earnings announcements contain significant new information about fundamentals.
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