分散式能源系统的多准则性能评估:一个案例研究

Ting Wu, Dongling Xu, Jianbo Yang
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引用次数: 4

摘要

由于可再生能源系统的技术、环境、经济和社会影响的多维性和复杂性,多准则决策分析(MCDA)方法在可再生能源系统的绩效评估和决策中越来越受欢迎。本文的目的是建立一个初步的绩效评估模型,用于分析工业园区构建不同多向量分散式可再生能源系统的可行性。根据当地环境条件和工业园区的能源概况,确定了四个微电网能源系统作为替代解决方案,并根据一套性能标准对这些替代方案进行了评估。采用证据推理方法,实现智能决策系统(IDS),对评价信息进行汇总,得到备选方案的总体排名。进行敏感性和权衡分析,以验证决策过程的鲁棒性。
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Multiple Criteria Performance Assessment for Decentralized Energy Systems: A Case Study
Multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods have become increasingly popular in the performance assessment and decision making of renewable energy systems due to the multi-dimensionality and complexity of its technical, environmental, economic and social impacts. The aim of this paper is to develop a preliminary performance assessment model for the feasibility analysis of constructing different multi-vector decentralized renewable energy systems in an industrial park. Four micro-grid energy systems are identified as alternative solutions in terms of the local environmental conditions and energy profile of the industrial park, and these alternatives are evaluated against a set of performance criteria. The evidential reasoning approach with the implementation of Intelligent Decision System (IDS) is then applied to aggregate assessment information in order to obtain the overall ranking of alternative solutions. sensitivity and trade-off analysis is conducted to validate the robustness of the decision making process.
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