主权风险溢价对银行盈利能力的影响:来自欧元区的证据

J. Junttila, S. Nguyen
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引用次数: 4

摘要

我们分析了2005年至2019年期间154家欧元区银行主权风险溢价对银行盈利能力的影响。与之前文献中的一些结果相反,我们发现欧元区银行的净互联网利润率并没有受到极低利率和负利率时代的太大影响。然而,在样本期间,整体盈利能力明显下降,主权风险溢价对所有整体盈利能力指标都有强劲的负面影响,无论是有风险调整还是没有风险调整,但它似乎对批发融资和贷款损失拨备的程度有越来越大的影响。因此,盈利难题可以用向低成本批发融资的转变来解释。由于经济整体风险的增加,银行也行使了更多的贷款损失拨备。然而,如果负利率时代长期持续下去,根据我们的结果,银行业将面临严重的问题。
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Impacts of Sovereign Risk Premium on Bank Profitability: Evidence from Euro Area
We analyse the effects of sovereign risk premium on bank profitability amongst 154 Eurozone banks during the period 2005 – 2019. In contrast to some of the results in the previous literature, we find that the euro area banks have not suffered too much from the extremely low and negative interest rate era regarding their net internet margins. However, the overall profitability has lowered clearly during the sample period, and the sovereign risk premium has a robust negative effect on all the overall profitability measures, both with risk-adjustment and without it, but it seems to have an increasing effect on the degree of wholesale funding and loan loss provisions. Hence, the profitability puzzle can be explained by a shift towards low-cost wholesale-based funding. Banks have also exercised more loan loss provisions because of the increment in overall risk of the economy. However, if the negative interest rate era still prevails for long, the banking sector faces serious problems based on our results.
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