利用人工神经网络(ANN)建立闪电预报模型:以苏邦机场或Skypark为例

Nurul Hanani Abdullah, R. Adnan, A. Samad, Fazlina Ahmat Ruslan
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引用次数: 4

摘要

闪电是马来西亚的一种极端天气现象。这是因为马来西亚每年都有很高的闪电和雷暴发生。在航空工业中,天气预警对于确保乘客安全至关重要。因此,闪电预报对于警告附近的人们在闪电发生前有足够的时间疏散是非常重要的。为此,本文提出了在苏邦苏丹阿卜杜勒阿齐兹沙机场使用人工神经网络(ANN)进行闪电预报。采用多层感知器神经网络(Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network, MLPNN)结构建立人工神经网络模型,并将仿真结果与实际值进行比较。使用的数据是从马来西亚气象局(MMS)获得的气象数据。仿真是利用Matlab神经网络工具箱进行训练和测试的过程。仿真结果表明,MLPNN成功地提前预测了苏邦苏丹阿卜杜勒阿齐兹沙机场闪电的发生。
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Lightning Forecasting Modelling Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN): Case Study Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport or Skypark Subang
Lightning is one of extreme weather phenomenon in Malaysia. It is because Malaysia has high lightning and thunderstorm occurrences in yearly basis. In aviation industry, weather awareness is very important to ensure the passenger safety. Therefore, lightning forecasting is very important to warn people on lightning occurring nearby and give them an ample time to evacuate before the lightning happens. Thus, this paper proposed lightning forecasting using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) at Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport Subang. The ANN model developed using Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) structure and then the simulation result is compared with the actual values. Data used is meteorological data obtained from Meteorological Malaysian Services (MMS). Simulation is done using Matlab Neural Network Toolbox for training and testing process. Simulation results showed that MLPNN successfully predict the occurrence of lightning ahead of time in Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport Subang.
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