用神经网络训练函数预测印度Hubli的月平均入射短波太阳能

S. Prasanna, Kumaresh Pal, Debesh Mandal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

太阳辐射是地球上发现的重要资源之一,可以加以更新,因此可以加以测试,并努力使人类受益。利用太阳能来满足人类的基本需求,即;为操作任何机器或设备提供电源。利用能量的方法是通过近似太阳的辐射值,这可以通过安装测量设备来实现。这里出现的主要问题是设备的维护和安装费用太高,一般人负担不起。为了克服这种不便,一种经济可行的解决方案是开发模型和方法来计算辐射并找到近似值。我们以印度Hubli市为研究对象,利用MATLAB在ANN(人工神经网络)中创建一个神经网络,估计该特定城市的月平均辐射。对模型进行了3种训练函数的验证:弹性反向传播(RP)、缩放共轭梯度(SCG)和Levenberg-Marquardt (LM)。通过MSE、RMSE、MBE、MAPE等统计指标检验预测值的准确性。
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Predicting The Monthly Average Incident Shortwave Solar Energy for Hubli, India by Using Training Functions in ANN
Solar radiation is one of the vital resources found on Earth which can be renewed and hence tested and tried to be beneficiary for humankind. Solar energy is harnessed to fulfill the basic requirements of humans i.e.; supply power to operate any kind of machine or device. The way to utilize the energy for our maximum benefit is by approximating the radiation values of Sun and this can be achieved by installing measuring equipments. The main issue arises here as the equipment's maintenance and installation cost is too high to be affordable by the general people. To overcome this inconvenience, an affordable solution was developing models and methods to calculate the radiation and find the approximate values. We focus on city, Hubli, India and estimate the monthly mean radiation received on this particular city by creating a neural network in ANN (Artificial Neural network) using MATLAB. The models are validated for 3 training functions: resilient back-propagation (RP), Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG) and Levenberg-Marquardt (LM). The predicted values accuracy is also tested through statistical indicators like MSE, RMSE, MBE and MAPE.
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