使用Johnson-Lindenstrauss引理、模糊逻辑和自组织映射的时间序列数据预测

Femy N S, Sasi Gopalan
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摘要

本文采用自组织映射(SOM)、Johnson-Lindenstrauss引理(JLL)和模糊逻辑相结合的混合模型进行时间序列数据预测。命名为SJLF模型。SOM用于对具有相似特征的数据进行分组。通过JLL,高维数据通过近似保持输入向量之间的距离被投影到低维空间。数据的模糊性也被引入到预测值中。将这些预测值输入到模糊逻辑系统中,得到预测值作为输出。为了进行实验分析,有关COVID-19的现有数据来自人道主义数据交换。提出的SJLF模型应用于五个受冠状病毒影响的国家,比利时、巴西、哥伦比亚、印度和伊朗。SJLF模型的预测结果令人满意,5个国家的平均MAPE为1.199,平均预测精度为98.8%。将该模型与ANFIS模型进行了比较,发现该模型具有更好的预测效果。
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Time-Series Data Prediction Using Johnson-Lindenstrauss Lemma, Fuzzy Logic, And Self Organizing Maps
This paper uses a hybrid model combining Self-Organizing Maps (SOM), Johnson-Lindenstrauss Lemma(JLL), and Fuzzy Logic for time-series data prediction. It is named as SJLF model. SOM is used to group data having similar characteristics. By JLL, high-dimensional data is projected to low-dimensional space by approximately preserving the distance between the input vectors. The fuzziness in data is also carried on to the projected values. These projected values are input into the fuzzy logic system to obtain the predicted value as output. For experimental analysis, the available data on COVID-19 is taken from humanitarian data exchange. The proposed SJLF model is applied to five coronavirus-affected countries Belgium, Brazil, Colombia, India, and Iran. The SJLF model's prediction shows promising results as the average MAPE for five countries is 1.199, and the prediction accuracy on an average is 98.8%. The proposed model is compared with the ANFIS model and is found that the proposed model shows better forecasting results.
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