《抛下警惕:COVID-19和飓风

M. Tracey, Alicia Plemmons, Ariel R Belasen
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在COVID-19大流行期间,劳拉飓风的爆发为估计减少社交距离对COVID-19传播的影响提供了一个自然实验。为此,我们首先提供了飓风引起的流动性的证据。然后,利用医院一级确诊和疑似成人COVID-19病例的数据,我们发现,在随后的几周内,受飓风影响的县的此类病例增加了10%以上。飓风过后,低收入地区的COVID-19病例增长较快。这些发现为决策者在设计自然灾害方案以适应潜在的病毒性疾病时提供了重要的见解。
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Throwing Caution to the Wind: COVID-19 and Hurricanes
The onset of Hurricane Laura during the COVID-19 pandemic provides a natural experiment to estimate the effect of reduced social distancing on the spread of COVID-19. To this end, we first provide evidence of hurricane-induced mobility. Then using hospital-level data on confirmed and suspected adult COVID-19 cases, we find that such cases rise by more than 10 percent in hurricane-affected counties in subsequent weeks. Lower income areas endured a higher growth in COVID-19 cases in the post-hurricane period. These findings provide crucial insights for policymakers when designing natural disaster protocols to adjust for potential viral illnesses.
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